Match Info

Date: 1 April 2021, Thursday


	Pustertal-Val Pusteria		EHC Lustenau

	1	X	2
	1.42	5	4.75
	1.64	5.5	3.32
	1.5	5	4.5
	1.68	4.9	3.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.45)	5.1 ↓ (5.4)	4.09 ↓ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pustertal-Val Pusteria
59.3%

Draw
18.1%

EHC Lustenau
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.1%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

11.6%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pustertal-Val Pusteria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pustertal-Val Pusteria's form might have worsened.

EHC Lustenau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting EHC Lustenau's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pustertal-Val Pusteria than the current prediction. (-16.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pustertal-Val Pusteria that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EHC Lustenau than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Pustertal Val Pusteria - EHC Lustenau Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Preview

1st leg.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Pustertal-Val Pusteria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Pustertal-Val Pusteria is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Pustertal-Val Pusteria won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 36-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Pustertal-Val Pusteria won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Pustertal-Val Pusteria
Alps Hockey League
18.03.21	Pustertal-Val Pusteria - Red Bull Salzburg 2	2:4 ✺
13.03.21	Pustertal-Val Pusteria - EHC Lustenau	6:1 ✺
10.03.21	Tigers Bregenzerwald - Pustertal-Val Pusteria	2:4 ✺
06.03.21	Pustertal-Val Pusteria - Acroni Jesenice	1:2 OT ✺
04.03.21	EHC Lustenau - Pustertal-Val Pusteria	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWLW
- EHC Lustenau
Alps Hockey League
23.03.21	EHC Lustenau - Ritten-Renon	6:2 ✺
20.03.21	Ritten-Renon - EHC Lustenau	2:7 ✺
18.03.21	EHC Lustenau - Asiago	5:1 ✺
13.03.21	Pustertal-Val Pusteria - EHC Lustenau	6:1 ✺
09.03.21	Cortina - EHC Lustenau	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
13.03.21	Pustertal-Val Pusteria - EHC Lustenau	6:1
04.03.21	EHC Lustenau - Pustertal-Val Pusteria	1:3
26.12.19	EHC Lustenau - Pustertal-Val Pusteria	2:3 OT
28.09.19	Pustertal-Val Pusteria - EHC Lustenau	1:2
09.03.19	EHC Lustenau - Pustertal-Val Pusteria	5:3
11.10.18	Pustertal-Val Pusteria - EHC Lustenau	2:1
18.11.17	EHC Lustenau - Pustertal-Val Pusteria	2:4

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