Match Info

EUROPE: ALPS HOCKEY LEAGUE

Date: 26 November 2023, Sunday


	EHC Lustenau		Ritten-Renon

	1	X	2
	3.4	4.6	1.67
	3.35	4.5	1.68
	3.63	4.84	1.74
	3.63	4.85	1.74
	3.4	4.5	1.7
	3.54	4.45	1.7
	3.45	4.5	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↓ (3.84)	4.61 ↑ (4.55)	1.7 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EHC Lustenau
26.3%

Draw
19.9%

Ritten-Renon
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

19.9%

56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

18.6%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EHC Lustenau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Ritten-Renon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EHC Lustenau than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ritten-Renon than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ritten-Renon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

EHC Lustenau - Ritten Renon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lustenau won 2.

Recent matches Lustenau is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ritten-Renon in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Ritten-Renon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Lustenau have a series of home games.

In this match Ritten-Renon is a favorite.

Last 21 head-to-head matches Lustenau won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 59-84.

Including matches at home between the teams Lustenau won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 32-42.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EHC Lustenau
Alps Hockey League
24.11.23	EHC Lustenau - Acroni Jesenice	2:1 OT ✺
19.11.23	EHC Lustenau - Red Bull Salzburg 2	3:5 ✺
17.11.23	EHC Lustenau - Celje	2:4 ✺
04.11.23	EHC Lustenau - KAC II	6:2 ✺
01.11.23	Unterland Cavaliers - EHC Lustenau	6:5 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLLWL
- Sportverein Ritten-Renon
Alps Hockey League
23.11.23	Ritten-Renon - Fassa	5:2 ✺
16.11.23	KAC II - Ritten-Renon	1:5 ✺
05.11.23	Ritten-Renon - Tigers Bregenzerwald	5:3 ✺
01.11.23	Ritten-Renon - Steel Wings Linz	3:2 ✺
28.10.23	Fassa - Ritten-Renon	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
07.10.23	Ritten-Renon - EHC Lustenau	1:3
10.12.22	EHC Lustenau - Ritten-Renon	4:7
05.11.22	Ritten-Renon - EHC Lustenau	4:1
03.03.22	EHC Lustenau - Ritten-Renon	3:2
23.12.21	EHC Lustenau - Ritten-Renon	0:4
04.11.21	Ritten-Renon - EHC Lustenau	7:3
23.03.21	EHC Lustenau - Ritten-Renon	6:2

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