The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
EV Zug 49.3%
Draw 22.7%
Bern 28%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51%
22.3%
26.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.8%
22.6%
26.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
EV Zug has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Bern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for EV Zug than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bern than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
EV Zug - Bern Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
1. Wolf T. (G)
36. Reideborn A. (G)
32. Bengtsson L.
58. Loeffel R.
14. Stadler L.
75. Yakovenko A.
96. Vozenilek D.
71. Bemstrom E.
43. Kovar J. (C)
15. Aaltonen M.
81. Kubalik D.
9. Ejdsell V.
Line 2
94. Balestra N.
65. Untersander R. (C)
42. Geisser T.
14. Fullemann L.
73. Kunzle M.
86. Vermin J.
40. Wingerli A.
43. Graf A.
15. Hofmann G.
23. Lehmann M.
Line 3
18. Schlumpf D.
4. Aktell H.
66. Sklenicka D.
41. Kindschi S.
86. Antenen R. N.
88. Schild T.
88. Senteler S.
64. Alge M.
68. Herzog F.
8. Marchon M.
Line 4
91. Sauser F.
51. Rhyn N.
95. Lindemann C. S.
17. Moser L.
61. Leuenberger S.
91. Ritzmann F.
22. Eggenberger N.
85. Schenk F.
Substitutes
60. Birchler M. N. (G)
81. Serkins D.
92. Fueter S.
33. Zurkirchen S. (G)
Coaches
. Liniger M.
. Ehlers H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
04:16, 1 - 0, Hofmann G. (G), Geisser T. (A), Kunzle M. (A2)
10:33, 2 - 0, Kubalik D. (G), Kovar J. (A), Bengtsson L. (A2)
15:03, Schild T. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
05:59, 3 - 0, Wingerli A. (G), Hofmann G. (A), Stadler L. (A2)
16:57, 3 - 1, Marchon M. (G), Schild T. (A),
19:48, 3 - 2, Bemstrom E. (G), Fullemann L. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
19:15, 4 - 2, Vozenilek D. (G), Hofmann G. (A),
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 13 in the zone National League (Play Out: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, EV Zug won 2.
EV Zug is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Bern's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
EV Zug might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, EV Zug won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 62:47. (average 3.1:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, EV Zug won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 38:23. (average 3.5:2.1).
Last Results with these Odds
EV Zug - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.96%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.