Match Info

National League - Round 31

Date: 14 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: OYM Hall (Zug)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sport 2
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Switzerland	MySports, MySports


	EV Zug		Lugano

	1	X	2
	3	4.3	2	Watch
	2.75	4.15	2.16
	2.72	4.18	2.19	Watch
	2.6	3.9	2.1
	2.78	4.14	2.24	Watch
	2.6	4	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.63)	4.11 (4.11)	2.13 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EV Zug
33.9%

Draw
22.6%

Lugano
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

22.7%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

24.7%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EV Zug has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EV Zug than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lugano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	9.1%	81.8%

EV Zug - Lugano Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. EV Zug will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Lugano will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lugano: 59% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lugano will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, EV Zug won 3.

EV Zug is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Lugano has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

EV Zug may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Lugano has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, EV Zug won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 66:58. (average 3.3:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, EV Zug won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:32. (average 3.2:3.2).

Outrights of Swiss National League Hockey for now

Zug: 7.51% Lugano: 5.51%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
9	Lugano	9	3	1	1	4	33:31	12
12	Zug	6	3	0	1	2	22:14	10

Last Results with these Odds

EV Zug - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 35.54%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EV Zug
Champions League Ice Hockey
13.01.26	EV Zug - Luleå	2:3 ✺
Swiss National League Hockey
10.01.26	EV Zug - ZSC Lions	2:3 OT ✺
08.01.26	Fribourg-Gottéron - EV Zug	3:2 penalties ✺
06.01.26	Ambrì-Piotta - EV Zug	4:0 ✺
03.01.26	EV Zug - EHC Kloten	1:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- HC Lugano
Swiss National League Hockey
08.01.26	Genève-Servette - Lugano	2:1 OT ✺
07.01.26	Lausanne HC - Lugano	2:5 ✺
03.01.26	Lugano - Fribourg-Gottéron	3:2 ✺
02.01.26	Biel - Lugano	3:1 ✺
23.12.25	SCL Tigers - Lugano	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss National League Hockey
21.11.25	EV Zug - Lugano	2:3
12.09.25	Lugano - EV Zug	1:2
31.01.25	EV Zug - Lugano	7:4
20.12.24	Lugano - EV Zug	5:2
22.10.24	Lugano - EV Zug	1:5
17.09.24	EV Zug - Lugano	3:2
17.02.24	EV Zug - Lugano	1:5

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