The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
EV Zug 51.1%
Draw 21.9%
Lugano 27%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
51.6%
21.7%
26.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.9%
22.5%
27.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
EV Zug has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for EV Zug than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
EV Zug - Lugano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Genoni L. (G)
88. Mayer R. (G)
16. Diaz R. (A)
26. Aebischer D.
66. Sklenicka D.
9. Zanetti B.
90. Tatar T.
17. Fazzini L. (C)
43. Kovar J. (C)
21. Sanford Z.
40. Wingerli A.
13. Peltonen A.
Line 2
3. Moverare J.
60. Thomson L.
14. Stadler L.
25. Muller M. (A)
73. Kunzle M.
19. Kupari R.
9. Rohrer V.
7. Tanner R.
81. Kubalik D.
12. Innala J.
Line 3
42. Geisser T.
81. Togni E.
37. Riva E.
22. Alatalo S. (A)
11. Petrovic N.
91. Olsson D.
88. Senteler S. (A)
73. Shore N.
15. Hofmann G.
15. Lycksell O.
Line 4
27. Guerra S.
65. Cjunskis H.
8. Gredig R.
72. Besanidis A.
61. Leuenberger S.
23. Morini G.
86. Antenen R. N.
27. Henry C.
Substitutes
31. Croce M. (G)
34. Schlegel N. (G)
77. Wey L.
45. Togni D.
Coaches
. Marjamaki L.
. Mitell T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
05:57, (2 min),
14:16, Kovar J. (2 min),
15:41, 0 - 1, Thomson L. (G),
2nd Period (4 - 0)
05:03, 1 - 1, Senteler S. (G), Petrovic N. (A),
07:08, Besanidis A. (2 min),
07:43, 2 - 1, Rohrer V. (G), Kubalik D. (A),
08:51, Muller M. (2 min),
13:06, 3 - 1, Tatar T. (G), Geisser T. (A), Rohrer V. (A2)
13:19, 4 - 1, Hofmann G. (G), Senteler S. (A),
3rd Period (3 - 1)
01:51, 4 - 2, Lycksell O. (G), Olsson D. (A),
07:51, 5 - 2, Senteler S. (G), Hofmann G. (A),
09:51, 6 - 2, Rohrer V. (G), Kubalik D. (A),
09:51, (2 min),
15:04, Sklenicka D. (2 min),
17:52, 7 - 2, Guerra S. (G), Hofmann G. (A),
Preview
Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 10th in the Promotion - National League Promotion - Playoffs and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, EV Zug won 1.
EV Zug has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Lugano is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
EV Zug could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, EV Zug has faced a series of away games on the road.
Bookmakers give the edge to EV Zug for this game.
Our forecast points to a victory for EV Zug in today's match, at odds of 1.77.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, EV Zug has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 61:61 (averaging 3.1:3.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for EV Zug against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 27:30 goals (averaging 3:3.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
8
Zug
11
7
0
1
3
38:24
22
10
Lugano
17
6
1
2
8
53:58
22
Outrights of Swiss National League Hockey for now
Zug: 5.16% Lugano: 4.38%
Last Results with these Odds
EV Zug - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 51.6%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.
Lugano - the odds 3.51 are the expected chance of winning is 26.7%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.
Switzerland
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Genoni L. (G) 
Sklenicka D. 
Tatar T. 
Sanford Z. 
Wingerli A. 
Peltonen A. 
Rohrer V. 
Petrovic N. 
Olsson D. 
Cjunskis H. 
Morini G. 
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