Match Info

National League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 26 March 2026, Thursday

Location: OYM Hall (Zug)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Switzerland	MySports, MySports


	EV Zug		Davos

	1	X	2
	3.2	4.2	1.95	Watch
	2.85	4	2.14
	2.86	3.97	2.13
	3.06	4.02	2.03	Watch
	2.7	4	2.05
	2.92	4.14	2.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.63)	4.06 ↓ (4.11)	2.08 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EV Zug
31.9%

Draw
23.1%

Davos
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

22.7%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

23.7%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EV Zug has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Davos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EV Zug than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for EV Zug, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Davos than the current prediction. (-5%)

EV Zug - Davos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Genoni L. (G)	29. Aeschlimann S. (G)
32. Bengtsson L.	38. Frick L.
42. Geisser T.	6. Dahlbeck K.
40. Wingerli A.	18. Zadina F.
43. Kovar J. (C)	74. Asplund R.
15. Hofmann G.	22. Lemieux B.
Line 2
16. Diaz R.	55. Andersson C.
66. Sklenicka D.	90. Jung S.
73. Kunzle M.	25. Waidacher B.
88. Senteler S.	15. Ryfors S.
96. Vozenilek D.	93. Frehner Y.
Line 3
37. Riva E.	20. Fora M.
14. Stadler L.	57. Barandun D.
95. Lindemann C. S.	44. Stransky M. (C)
61. Leuenberger S.	66. Nussbaumer V.
22. Eggenberger N.	72. Kessler T.
Line 4
27. Guerra S.	77. Gross N.
91. Truog L. C.	36. Knak S.
90. Tatar T.	96. Egli C.
68. Herzog F.	21. Parree J.
Substitutes
77. Wey L.	35. Aebli N.
1. Wolf T. (G)	1. Soler L. (G)
Coaches
. Groulx B.	. Holden J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 0)
00:33, 1 - 0, Wingerli A. (G), Bengtsson L. (A),
01:49, Waidacher B. (2 min),
09:21, 2 - 0, Tatar T. (G),
13:23, 3 - 0, Hofmann G. (G), Kovar J. (A), Geisser T. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
05:35, 3 - 1, Stransky M. (G), Andersson C. (A), Lemieux B. (A2)
08:02, Diaz R. (2 min),
11:37, Barandun D. (2 min),
12:31, Wingerli A. (2 min),
14:19, 3 - 2, Ryfors S. (G), Frehner Y. (A), Andersson C. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
00:39, Hofmann G. (2 min),
06:02, Lemieux B. (2 min),
06:04, 4 - 2, Senteler S. (G), Bengtsson L. (A),
09:15, 5 - 2, Wingerli A. (G), Bengtsson L. (A),

Preview

Davos leads series 3-0. Fourth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, EV Zug won 1.

EV Zug has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Davos is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

EV Zug may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Davos will win today's game, with odds of 2.19.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, EV Zug won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 50:72. (average 2.5:3.6).

Including home matches between the teams, EV Zug won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:28. (average 2.4:2.8).

Outrights of Swiss National League Hockey for now

Davos: 14.24% Zug: 7.51%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
7	Davos	10	4	0	1	5	25:28	13
12	Zug	6	3	0	1	2	22:14	10

Last Results with these Odds

EV Zug - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 35.47%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Davos - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.83%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EV Zug
Swiss National League Hockey
24.03.26	Davos - EV Zug	7:3 ✺
22.03.26	EV Zug - Davos	0:2 ✺
20.03.26	Davos - EV Zug	4:3 ✺
14.03.26	Rapperswil-Jona Lakers - EV Zug	2:1 ✺
12.03.26	EV Zug - Rapperswil-Jona Lakers	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLLW
- HC Davos
Swiss National League Hockey
24.03.26	Davos - EV Zug	7:3 ✺
22.03.26	EV Zug - Davos	0:2 ✺
20.03.26	Davos - EV Zug	4:3 ✺
09.03.26	Davos - Biel	5:2 ✺
07.03.26	ZSC Lions - Davos	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss National League Hockey
24.03.26	Davos - EV Zug	7:3
22.03.26	EV Zug - Davos	0:2
20.03.26	Davos - EV Zug	4:3
27.01.26	Davos - EV Zug	4:1
23.12.25	EV Zug - Davos	3:2 penalties
16.11.25	Davos - EV Zug	5:1
23.09.25	EV Zug - Davos	3:4 penalties

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