Match Info

National League - Promotion - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday

Location: OYM Hall (Zug)

Where to Watch on TV:


Switzerland	MySports, MySports


	EV Zug		Rapperswil-Jona Lakers

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.21	4	2.75
	2.24	3.99	2.68
	2.24	4.03	2.69	Watch
	2.1	3.9	2.63
	2.28	4.09	2.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.16)	4 ↓ (4.15)	2.7 ↓ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EV Zug
42.1%

Draw
23.3%

Rapperswil-Jona Lakers
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

22.8%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

25%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EV Zug has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Rapperswil-Jona Lakers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EV Zug than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for EV Zug, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rapperswil-Jona Lakers than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

EV Zug - Rapperswil Jona Lakers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Genoni L. (G)	60. Nyffeler M. (G)
32. Bengtsson L.	20. Pilut L.
42. Geisser T.	11. Maier F.
68. Herzog F.	88. Stromwall M.
43. Kovar J. (C)	49. Rask V.
81. Kubalik D.	72. Wetter G.
Line 2
16. Diaz R.	7. Capaul L.
66. Sklenicka D.	4. Larsson J. (C)
73. Kunzle M.	94. Zangger S.
90. Tatar T.	95. Moy T.
15. Hofmann G.	89. Lammer D.
Line 3
18. Schlumpf D.	9. Henauer M.
37. Riva E.	17. Jelovac I.
96. Vozenilek D.	16. Fritz T.
88. Senteler S.	40. Taibel J.
91. Truog L. C.	71. Jensen N.
Line 4
77. Wey L.	24. Dufner M.
14. Stadler L.	33. Hofer V.
95. Lindemann C. S.	28. Albrecht Y.
61. Leuenberger S.	69. Graf M.
22. Eggenberger N.
Substitutes
1. Wolf T. (G)	47. Hornecker J.
	74. Punnenovs I. (G)
Coaches
. Groulx B.	. Lundskog J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
08:31, Jelovac I. (2 min),
13:43, Kunzle M. (2 min),
16:25, Graf M. (2 min),
19:20, Hofmann G. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 2)
05:16, Jensen N. (2 min),
05:49, Tatar T. (2 min),
06:50, Capaul L. (2 min),
09:03, 1 - 0, Kubalik D. (G), Tatar T. (A),
12:04, 2 - 0, Kunzle M. (G), Kovar J. (A), Sklenicka D. (A2)
14:18, Vozenilek D. (2 min),
14:30, 2 - 1, Stromwall M. (G),
16:06, 2 - 2, Rask V. (G), Wetter G. (A),
3rd Period (3 - 0)
08:05, Kovar J. (2 min),
08:05, Pilut L. (2 min),
09:11, 3 - 2, Sklenicka D. (G), Vozenilek D. (A), Eggenberger N. (A2)
12:15, 4 - 2, Herzog F. (G), Tatar T. (A),
18:52, 5 - 2, Geisser T. (G), Tatar T. (A),

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, EV Zug won 2.

EV Zug has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rapperswil-Jona is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, EV Zug won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 62:54. (average 3.1:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, EV Zug won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 35:21. (average 3.5:2.1).

Outrights of Swiss National League Hockey for now

Zug: 8.49% Rapperswil-Jona: 2.93%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
11	Rapperswil-Jona	11	2	2	1	6	28:42	11
12	Zug	6	3	0	1	2	22:14	10

Last Results with these Odds

EV Zug - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 43.74%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Rapperswil-Jona Lakers - the odds 2.82 are the expected chance of winning is 33.5%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EV Zug
Swiss National League Hockey
09.03.26	Lugano - EV Zug	4:1 ✺
07.03.26	EV Zug - Rapperswil-Jona Lakers	2:3 OT ✺
05.03.26	Bern - EV Zug	2:1 penalties ✺
28.02.26	EV Zug - Ambrì-Piotta	4:1 ✺
27.02.26	Biel - EV Zug	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLLWW
- Rapperswil-Jona Lakers
Swiss National League Hockey
09.03.26	Rapperswil-Jona Lakers - Ambrì-Piotta	6:2 ✺
07.03.26	EV Zug - Rapperswil-Jona Lakers	2:3 OT ✺
05.03.26	Rapperswil-Jona Lakers - EHC Kloten	6:4 ✺
28.02.26	SCL Tigers - Rapperswil-Jona Lakers	3:4 ✺
27.02.26	Rapperswil-Jona Lakers - Fribourg-Gottéron	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss National League Hockey
07.03.26	EV Zug - Rapperswil-Jona Lakers	2:3 OT
20.12.25	Rapperswil-Jona Lakers - EV Zug	4:2
24.10.25	Rapperswil-Jona Lakers - EV Zug	2:6
20.09.25	EV Zug - Rapperswil-Jona Lakers	0:6
14.02.25	EV Zug - Rapperswil-Jona Lakers	6:1
02.01.25	Rapperswil-Jona Lakers - EV Zug	5:3
21.11.24	EV Zug - Rapperswil-Jona Lakers	5:2

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