The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
EV Zug 48.4%
Draw 22.1%
Lausanne HC 29.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37.6%
21.4%
40.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.9%
22.7%
37.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
EV Zug has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in EV Zug's performance.
Lausanne HC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lausanne HC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for EV Zug than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with EV Zug that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lausanne HC than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lausanne HC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
EV Zug - Lausanne HC Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Genoni L. (G)
70. Huet E. (G)
16. Diaz R. (A)
20. Fora M. (A)
66. Sklenicka D.
81. Baragano I.
90. Tatar T.
9. Riat D. (C)
43. Kovar J. (C)
11. Suomela A.
40. Wingerli A.
23. Kurashev P.
Line 2
65. Schneller E.
91. Heldner F.
3. Moverare J.
5. Carrick C.
73. Kunzle M.
89. Ruegsegger S.
9. Rohrer V.
42. Lazar C.
81. Kubalik D.
96. Caggiula D. (A)
Line 3
42. Geisser T.
67. Vouardoux N.
37. Riva E.
13. Sansonnens B.
11. Petrovic N.
28. Simic A.
88. Senteler S. (A)
14. Fuchs J.
15. Hofmann G.
12. Zehnder Y.
Line 4
14. Stadler L.
58. Loeffel R.
8. Gredig R.
66. Fiedler C.
61. Leuenberger S.
4. Holdener M.
86. Antenen R. N.
92. Vidal T.
19. Fust R.
Substitutes
31. Croce M. (G)
33. Pasche K. (G)
95. Lindemann C. S.
Coaches
. Marjamaki L.
. Ward G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
00:57, 1 - 0, Rohrer V. (G), Kubalik D. (A), Moverare J. (A2)
07:59, 1 - 1, Suomela A. (G), Holdener M. (A), Kurashev P. (A2)
18:24, Rohrer V. (2 min),
18:24, Kurashev P. (2 min),
18:24, Riat D. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
14:25, 2 - 1, Senteler S. (G), Petrovic N. (A),
15:15, 3 - 1, Gredig R. (G), Moverare J. (A), Geisser T. (A2)
18:03, Caggiula D. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
17:26, 4 - 1, Rohrer V. (G),
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 11th and 6th in the Promotion - National League Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, EV Zug won 2.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
EV Zug could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, EV Zug has faced a series of away games on the road.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, EV Zug has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 57:61 (averaging 2.9:3.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for EV Zug against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 34:20 goals (averaging 3.8:2.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
7
Zug
12
8
0
1
3
41:26
25
8
Lausanne
19
7
1
1
10
56:67
24
Outrights of Swiss National League Hockey for now
Lausanne: 8.71% Zug: 5.16%
Last Results with these Odds
Lausanne HC - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.95%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.
Czech Republic
Slovakia
Switzerland
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Genoni L. (G) 
Sklenicka D. 
Tatar T. 
Suomela A. 
Wingerli A. 
Carrick C. 
Rohrer V. 
Lazar C. 
Petrovic N. 
Vidal T. 
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