Match Info

National League - Round 39

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: OYM Hall (Zug)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sport 2
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Switzerland	MySports, MySports


	EV Zug		ZSC Lions

	1	X	2
	3.1	4.2	2	Watch
	3	4.25	2.01
	2.95	4.11	2.07	Watch
	2.9	4	1.85
	2.98	4.1	2.14	Watch
	2.6	4	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.84)	4.11 ↓ (4.28)	2.03 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EV Zug
31.7%

Draw
22.6%

ZSC Lions
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

21.8%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

23.6%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EV Zug has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ZSC Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EV Zug than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ZSC Lions than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

EV Zug - ZSC Lions Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. EV Zug will win (votes: 2 - 40%). ZSC Lions will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): EV Zug will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Genoni L. (G)	30. Hrubec S. (G)
66. Sklenicka D.	4. Geering P. (C)
37. Riva E.	46. Kukan D.
90. Tatar T.	9. Rohrer V.
43. Kovar J. (C)	62. Malgin D.
81. Kubalik D.	73. Gruber K.
Line 2
18. Schlumpf D.	44. Lehtonen M.
42. Geisser T.	54. Marti Ch.
73. Kunzle M.	28. Froden J.
40. Wingerli A.	27. Grant D.
15. Hofmann G.	38. Balcers R.
Line 3
14. Stadler L.	6. Weber Y.
27. Guerra S.	33. Schwendeler J.
96. Vozenilek D.	64. Aberg P.
88. Senteler S.	18. Baechler N.
68. Herzog F.	8. Riedi W.
Line 4
6. Geisser M.	86. Trutmann D.
77. Wey L.	96. Meier E.
61. Leuenberger S.	13. Sigrist J.
22. Eggenberger N.	17. Segafredo A.
Substitutes
86. Antenen R. N.	89. Olsson D.
1. Wolf T. (G)	40. Zumbuhl R. (G)
Coaches
. Liniger M.	. Bayer M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
11:51, 1 - 0, Leuenberger S. (G), Geisser T. (A),
12:34, 1 - 1, Gruber K. (G), Malgin D. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
18:44, (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
00:51, 2 - 1, Riva E. (G), Kunzle M. (A),
03:52, Wingerli A. (2 min),
12:43, Wingerli A. (2 min),
14:34, Aberg P. (2 min),
16:50, Tatar T. (2 min),
17:22, 2 - 2, Grant D. (G),
Overtime (0 - 1)
02:52, 2 - 3, Grant D. (G), Kukan D. (A),

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, EV Zug won 4.

EV Zug is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

ZSC Lions has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

ZSC Lions may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

ZSC Lions could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, EV Zug won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 47:60. (average 2.4:3).

Including home matches between the teams, EV Zug won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:32. (average 2.2:3.2).

Outrights of Swiss National League Hockey for now

Zurich: 23.53% Zug: 7.51%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Zurich	9	7	2	0	0	37:20	25
12	Zug	6	3	0	1	2	22:14	10

Last Results with these Odds

ZSC Lions - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 45.32%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EV Zug
Swiss National League Hockey
08.01.26	Fribourg-Gottéron - EV Zug	3:2 penalties ✺
06.01.26	Ambrì-Piotta - EV Zug	4:0 ✺
03.01.26	EV Zug - EHC Kloten	1:2 OT ✺
02.01.26	Lausanne HC - EV Zug	7:0 ✺
23.12.25	EV Zug - Davos	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLLW
- ZSC Lions
Swiss National League Hockey
06.01.26	Ajoie - ZSC Lions	3:5 ✺
03.01.26	ZSC Lions - Lausanne HC	3:2 ✺
02.01.26	Genève-Servette - ZSC Lions	5:3 ✺
23.12.25	ZSC Lions - Biel	4:2 ✺
20.12.25	Fribourg-Gottéron - ZSC Lions	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss National League Hockey
17.10.25	ZSC Lions - EV Zug	2:3 penalties
27.09.25	EV Zug - ZSC Lions	2:1 OT
22.02.25	EV Zug - ZSC Lions	5:4
11.01.25	ZSC Lions - EV Zug	1:2
28.11.24	EV Zug - ZSC Lions	0:4
19.10.24	ZSC Lions - EV Zug	5:4
08.04.24	EV Zug - ZSC Lions	0:2

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