The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Edmonton Oilers 34.4%
Draw 22.1%
Tampa Bay Lightning 43.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.5%
22.1%
42.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.9%
22.5%
43.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Edmonton Oilers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Edmonton Oilers than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
0%
50%
Edmonton Oilers - Tampa Bay Lightning Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Edmonton will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Tampa Bay will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Line 1
39. Ingram C. (G)
88. Vasilevski A. (G)
2. Bouchard E.
90. Moser J.J.
14. Ekholm M.
43. Raddysh D.
18. Hyman Z.
86. Kucherov N. (A)
97. McDavid C. (C)
71. Cirelli A.
22. Savoie M.
38. Hagel B.
Line 2
5. Murphy C.
81. Cernak E.
25. Nurse D. (A)
27. McDonagh R. (A)
42. Kapanen K.
59. Guentzel J.
93. Nugent-Hopkins R. (A)
21. Point B.
92. Podkolzin V.
93. Goncalves G.
Line 3
24. Stastney S.
51. D'Astous C.
96. Walman J.
78. Lilleberg E.
28. Roslovic J.
29. Holmberg P.
16. Dickinson J.
37. Gourde Y.
46. Jones M.
28. Girgensons Z.
Line 4
15. Jarventie R.
77. Hedman V. (C)
19. Henrique A.
22. Bjorkstrand O.
81. Samanski J.
20. Paul N.
10. Perry C.
Substitutes
35. Jarry T. (G)
31. Johansson J. (G)
Coaches
. Knoblauch K.
. Cooper J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
19:37, 1 - 0, McDavid C. (G), Bouchard E. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 3)
01:37, 1 - 1, Cirelli A. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Hagel B. (A2)
06:03, McDavid C. (2 min),
06:03, Holmberg P. (2 min),
10:29, Holmberg P. (5 min),
10:29, Murphy C. (5 min),
11:03, Podkolzin V. (5 min),
11:03, Cirelli A. (5 min),
11:03, Nurse D. (2 min),
12:13, 1 - 2, Guentzel J. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Point B. (A2)
13:06, McDavid C. (2 min),
14:47, Kucherov N. (2 min),
15:34, Gourde Y. (2 min),
16:58, 1 - 3, Kucherov N. (G), Moser J.J. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
07:16, 2 - 3, Samanski J. (G),
15:32, 2 - 4, Kucherov N. (G), Hagel B. (A),
15:50, Jones M. (2 min),
19:09, Cernak E. (2 min),
19:28, 2 - 5, Cirelli A. (G),
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Edmonton won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Edmonton: Dach C.
(Injury)
Draisaitl L.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Emberson T.
(Injury)
Janmark M.
(Injury)
Lazar C.
(Injury)
There will not play in Tampa Bay: Carlile D.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Crozier M.
(Muscle Injury)
James D.
(Leg Injury)
Lilleberg E.
(Face Injury)
There are questionable in Edmonton: Frederic T.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Tampa Bay: Hedman V.
(Illness)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Edmonton won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 55:70. (average 2.8:3.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Edmonton won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 32:27. (average 3.6:3).
Outrights of NHL for now
Edmonton Oilers: 7.85% Tampa Bay Lightning: 6.22%
Last Results with these Odds
Edmonton Oilers - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 35.53%, but this team recently wins 41% of matches with these odds.
Tampa Bay Lightning - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 42.37%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.