Match Info

NHL

Date: 19 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Rogers Arena (Vancouver, BC)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
Germany	NHL.tv
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Vancouver Canucks		Tampa Bay Lightning

	1	X	2
	5	5	1.53	Watch
	4.9	4.9	1.56
	4.8	5.17	1.55
	4.76	5.04	1.55	Watch
	4.75	4.4	1.5
	5.12	5.12	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.89 ↑ (4.66)	4.94 ↑ (4.77)	1.54 ↓ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vancouver Canucks
19.4%

Draw
19.2%

Tampa Bay Lightning
61.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.3%

19.8%

59.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2%

20.7%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vancouver Canucks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vancouver Canucks than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	33.3%	50%

Vancouver Canucks - Tampa Bay Lightning Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Vancouver will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tampa Bay will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

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Lineups

Line 1
32. Lankinen K. (G)	88. Vasilevski A. (G)
17. Hronek F.	90. Moser J.J.
25. Pettersson E. II.	43. Raddysh D.
18. O'Connor D.	86. Kucherov N.
40. Pettersson E.	71. Cirelli A.
74. DeBrusk J.	38. Hagel B.
Line 2
5. Willander T.	81. Cernak E.
29. Pettersson M.	77. Hedman V.
6. Boeser B.	59. Guentzel J.
93. Rossi M.	21. Point B.
92. Ohgren L.	93. Goncalves G.
Line 3
90. Mancini V.	51. D'Astous C.
24. Buium Z.	27. McDonagh R.
94. Karlsson L.	29. Holmberg P.
53. Blueger T.	37. Gourde Y.
63. Sasson M.	28. Girgensons Z.
Line 4
91. Kane E.	22. Bjorkstrand O.
54. Raty A.	20. Paul N.
21. Hoglander N.	10. Perry C.
Substitutes
60. Tolopilo N. (G)	31. Johansson J. (G)
Coaches
. Foote A.	. Cooper J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
14:37, Moser J.J. (2 min),
17:37, 0 - 1, Guentzel J. (G), D'Astous C. (A), McDonagh R. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 3)
00:49, 0 - 2, Raddysh D. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Cirelli A. (A2)
04:16, 0 - 3, Gourde Y. (G), Raddysh D. (A), Holmberg P. (A2)
05:31, 0 - 4, Kucherov N. (G), Cernak E. (A), Cirelli A. (A2)
12:06, 1 - 4, Ohgren L. (G), Boeser B. (A), Rossi M. (A2)
18:49, Guentzel J. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
07:04, 2 - 4, Karlsson L. (G), Rossi M. (A),
07:36, 2 - 5, Cirelli A. (G), Hagel B. (A), Cernak E. (A2)
10:35, 2 - 6, Hagel B. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Moser J.J. (A2)
16:28, Blueger T. (2 min),

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vancouver won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Vancouver has had a series of home games.

In this match, Tampa Bay is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Vancouver: Chytil F. (Face Injury) Demko T. (Hip Injury) Forbort D. (Injury) Joseph P. (Upper-Body Injury) Lekkerimaki J. (Surgery)

There will not play in Tampa Bay: Carlile D. (Lower-Body Injury) Crozier M. (Muscle Injury) James D. (Leg Injury) Lilleberg E. (Face Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vancouver won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 53:70. (average 2.7:3.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Vancouver won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:30. (average 2.3:3.3).

Outrights of NHL for now

Tampa Bay Lightning: 6.22% Vancouver Canucks: 0.23%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vancouver Canucks
NHL
17.03.26	Vancouver Canucks - Florida Panthers	5:2 ✺
14.03.26	Vancouver Canucks - Seattle Kraken	2:5 ✺
12.03.26	Vancouver Canucks - Nashville Predators	4:3 penalties ✺
09.03.26	Vancouver Canucks - Ottawa Senators	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Winnipeg Jets - Vancouver Canucks	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLWLL
- Tampa Bay Lightning
NHL
17.03.26	Seattle Kraken - Tampa Bay Lightning	2:6 ✺
14.03.26	Tampa Bay Lightning - Carolina Hurricanes	2:4 ✺
12.03.26	Tampa Bay Lightning - Detroit Red Wings	4:1 ✺
10.03.26	Tampa Bay Lightning - Columbus Blue Jackets	2:5 ✺
08.03.26	Buffalo Sabres - Tampa Bay Lightning	8:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

NHL
16.11.25	Tampa Bay Lightning - Vancouver Canucks	2:6
08.12.24	Vancouver Canucks - Tampa Bay Lightning	2:4
15.10.24	Tampa Bay Lightning - Vancouver Canucks	4:1
12.12.23	Vancouver Canucks - Tampa Bay Lightning	4:1
19.10.23	Tampa Bay Lightning - Vancouver Canucks	4:3
18.01.23	Vancouver Canucks - Tampa Bay Lightning	2:5
12.01.23	Tampa Bay Lightning - Vancouver Canucks	5:4

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