The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Erie Otters 57.5%
Draw 20.2%
Barrie Colts 22.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
54.5%
19.8%
25.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.6%
21.5%
27.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Erie Otters has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
Barrie Colts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erie Otters than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Erie Otters that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrie Colts than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barrie Colts could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Erie Otters - Barrie Colts Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Barrie (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Barrie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
88. Egorov D. (G)
33. Bach H. (G)
92. Agrette M.
2. Desiderio N.
73. Ambrosio L.
37. Edgar E.
21. Arkko L.
98. Figliomeni A.
91. Bemish L.
16. Handsor J.
14. Cooper T.
24. Lombardi B.
25. Dec M. (A)
85. Lowe C.
13. Edwards K.
22. Matheson L.
15. Gesink A.
55. Matousek E.
81. Headrick E.
74. McNally D.
2. Henry T.
8. Mogull S.
34. Kamzik K.
72. Mowrey A.
27. Kennedy C.
88. Passmore E. (C)
89. Lombardi U.
11. Schneid W. (A)
4. McArthur B.
20. Shargorodsky P.
80. Murray J.
19. Tang M.
6. Saari J. (A)
81. Testa L.
96. Schuster P.
89. Tsherna D. (A)
10. Trevino T. (C)
21. Yurkiw R.
3. Turner O.
Substitutes
30. Karbowski L. (G)
70. Nikonovich M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
05:12, 1 - 0, Dec M. (G),
14:13, 2 - 0, Arkko L. (G), McArthur B. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
07:09, 2 - 1, Passmore E. (G), Desiderio N. (A), Figliomeni A. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
01:51, 2 - 2, Schneid W. (G), Matheson L. (A), Mogull S. (A2)
05:14, 3 - 2, Arkko L. (G), Headrick E. (A), Trevino T. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Erie won 2.
In recent outings, Erie has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Barrie is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Erie may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Erie has faced a series of away games on the road.
Recently, Barrie has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Erie has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 77:70 (averaging 3.9:3.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Erie against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 41:37 goals (averaging 4.1:3.7 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Barrie Colts - the odds 3.58 are the expected chance of winning is 25.71%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.