Match Info

OHL

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Erie Insurance Arena (Erie, PA)


	Erie Otters		Barrie Colts

	1	X	2
	2.13	4.55	2.61
	2.11	4.33	2.62	Watch
	2.08	4.45	2.55
	2.04	4.1	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.69)	4.36 ↓ (4.64)	2.6 ↓ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erie Otters
43.8%

Draw
21%

Barrie Colts
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

19.8%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

21.3%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erie Otters has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Erie Otters's form might have worsened.

Barrie Colts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barrie Colts's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erie Otters than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Erie Otters, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barrie Colts than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barrie Colts, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Erie won 2.

In recent outings, Erie has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Barrie is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Erie may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Erie has faced a series of away games on the road.

Recently, Barrie has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Erie has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 77:70 (averaging 3.9:3.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Erie against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 41:37 goals (averaging 4.1:3.7 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Barrie Colts - the odds 3.58 are the expected chance of winning is 25.71%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erie Otters
OHL
10.10.26	Erie Otters - Ottawa 67s	0:3 ✺
09.10.26	London Knights - Erie Otters	3:4 penalties ✺
04.10.26	Kingston Frontenacs - Erie Otters	6:8 ✺
03.10.26	Ottawa 67s - Erie Otters	6:1
01.10.26	Peterborough Petes - Erie Otters	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 LWWLL
- Barrie Colts
OHL
10.10.26	Niagara IceDogs - Barrie Colts	4:2 ✺
08.10.26	Barrie Colts - Kingston Frontenacs	4:7 ✺
03.10.26	Barrie Colts - Sarnia Sting	5:3 ✺
01.10.26	Barrie Colts - Niagara IceDogs	1:2 OT ✺
26.09.26	Barrie Colts - Oshawa Generals	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

OHL
21.11.25	Erie Otters - Barrie Colts	2:3 penalties
01.11.25	Barrie Colts - Erie Otters	4:2
02.11.24	Erie Otters - Barrie Colts	4:0
24.10.24	Barrie Colts - Erie Otters	1:2
05.02.24	Erie Otters - Barrie Colts	3:6
26.10.23	Barrie Colts - Erie Otters	2:4
23.02.23	Barrie Colts - Erie Otters	5:1

Erie Otters - Barrie Colts: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide