Match Info

OHL

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday

Location: Erie Insurance Arena (Erie, PA)


	Erie Otters		Kingston Frontenacs

	1	X	2
	3.8	5.02	1.64
	3.79	4.96	1.61	Watch
	4	4.6	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.86 ↑ (3.39)	4.86 ↑ (4.46)	1.61 ↓ (1.76)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erie Otters
23.8%

Draw
18.9%

Kingston Frontenacs
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

20.6%

52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

22%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erie Otters has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Kingston Frontenacs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erie Otters than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Erie Otters, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kingston Frontenacs than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kingston Frontenacs, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Erliden N. (G)	43. Betts G. (G)
92. Agrette M.	6. Bishop W. (A)
73. Ambrosio L.	22. Buttar N.
17. Cabral L.	17. Clark R.
27. Coombs R.	9. Dervin K.
14. Cooper T.	18. Dever J.
7. D'Alessio M.	. Dunn C.
88. Gowan B.	14. Frost M.
81. Headrick E.	77. Henderson M.
9. Hughes C.	41. Kulemin A.
34. Kamzik K.	13. Kuzma R.
96. Kuzma A.	11. McGowan M. (A)
89. Lombardi U.	19. Mclean A.
80. Murray J.	86. Misiak A.
61. Plante L.	25. Mondoux A.
6. Saari J. (A)	4. Moore L.
26. Schouten J.	10. Pobezal T.
72. Smith C.	27. Williamson V. (C)
10. Trevino T. (C)	36. Wright L.
Substitutes
35. Burns C. (G)	76. Minchak M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
00:25, 0 - 1, McGowan M. (G), Dervin K. (A),
11:11, 1 - 1, Lombardi U. (G), Agrette M. (A), Trevino T. (A2)
17:00, 2 - 1, Saari J. (G), Hughes C. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
02:04, 2 - 2, Pobezal T. (G), Kulemin A. (A), Williamson V. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
01:32, 2 - 3, Wright L. (G), Mclean A. (A), Moore L. (A2)
08:02, 3 - 3, Cooper T. (G), Trevino T. (A), Agrette M. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
01:11, 3 - 4, Dervin K. (G), Wright L. (A), Williamson V. (A2)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: )).

Kingston is Qualified for OHL (Play Offs )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Erie won 2.

Erie has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Kingston is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Erie may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Erie has had a series of home games.

Kingston might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Kingston will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Erie won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 65:58. (average 3.3:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Erie won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:25. (average 3.3:2.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Erie Otters - the odds 3.39 are the expected chance of winning is 27.13%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Kingston Frontenacs - the odds 1.76 are the expected chance of winning is 52.25%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erie Otters
OHL
08.03.26	Erie Otters - Saginaw Spirit	5:7 ✺
07.03.26	Erie Otters - London Knights	1:3 ✺
06.03.26	London Knights - Erie Otters	10:2 ✺
01.03.26	Erie Otters - Owen Sound Attack	1:5 ✺
28.02.26	Erie Otters - Owen Sound Attack	4:5 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Kingston Frontenacs
OHL
12.03.26	Niagara IceDogs - Kingston Frontenacs	1:2 ✺
08.03.26	Kingston Frontenacs - Oshawa Generals	3:2 ✺
06.03.26	Kingston Frontenacs - Brampton Steelheads	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Sudbury Wolves - Kingston Frontenacs	5:3 ✺
27.02.26	Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds - Kingston Frontenacs	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

OHL
05.10.25	Kingston Frontenacs - Erie Otters	1:0
19.01.25	Kingston Frontenacs - Erie Otters	6:2
17.10.24	Erie Otters - Kingston Frontenacs	2:1 OT
01.03.24	Kingston Frontenacs - Erie Otters	3:5
25.02.24	Erie Otters - Kingston Frontenacs	4:6
10.09.23	Kingston Frontenacs - Erie Otters	2:0
09.09.23	Erie Otters - Kingston Frontenacs	7:3

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