The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sudbury Wolves 35.2%
Draw 21.8%
Kingston Frontenacs 43%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.8%
21.2%
43%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.8%
22.4%
40.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sudbury Wolves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
The chances for Kingston Frontenacs have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sudbury Wolves than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kingston Frontenacs than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
29. Frasca P. (G)
76. Minchak M. (G)
72. Bennett B.
6. Bishop W. (A)
44. Berehowsky D.
22. Buttar N.
93. Blonda L.
17. Clark R.
91. Chitaroni H.
14. Frost M.
26. Chovan J.
77. Henderson M.
19. Clayton B.
47. Kelly A.
9. Coughlan C. (A)
8. Krmpotic N.
11. Dean E.
41. Kulemin A.
7. Ewles G.
13. Kuzma R.
84. Gonchar A.
12. Marleau L.
77. Henderson R. (A)
11. McGowan M. (A)
81. Kostuch C.
86. Misiak A.
13. Martin H.
25. Mondoux A.
71. Nemec A.
4. Moore L.
4. O'Dell T.
10. Pobezal T.
97. Provorov V.
74. Snyder N.
57. Smith B.
27. Williamson V. (C)
88. Ula P.
36. Wright L.
Substitutes
31. Bronas B. (G)
43. Betts G. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
00:56, 1 - 0, Coughlan C. (G),
13:43, 2 - 0, Provorov V. (G), Dean E. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 3)
03:52, 2 - 1, Buttar N. (G), Clark R. (A), Frost M. (A2)
06:34, 3 - 1, Berehowsky D. (G), Ula P. (A),
13:06, 3 - 2, Frost M. (G), McGowan M. (A),
17:41, 3 - 3, Pobezal T. (G), Misiak A. (A), Kulemin A. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
18:53, 4 - 3, Gonchar A. (G), Chovan J. (A), Martin H. (A2)
19:26, 5 - 3, Ewles G. (G), Henderson R. (A), Berehowsky D. (A2)
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sudbury won 0.
Sudbury is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Kingston has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Sudbury may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sudbury won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 78:78. (average 3.9:3.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Sudbury won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 45:35. (average 4.5:3.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Kingston Frontenacs - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 43.02%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Frasca P. (G) 
Minchak M. (G) 
Chovan J. 
Kulemin A. 
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