Match Info

OHL

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Erie Insurance Arena (Erie, PA)


	Erie Otters		Owen Sound Attack

	1	X	2
	2.65	4.66	2.09
	2.61	4.72	2.04	Watch
	2.63	4.2	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.57)	4.53 ↓ (4.54)	2.06 ↓ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erie Otters
35%

Draw
20.3%

Owen Sound Attack
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

20.2%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

21.8%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erie Otters has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Owen Sound Attack has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erie Otters than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Owen Sound Attack than the current prediction. (-4%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
60. Tegelaar N. (G)	30. Bennett T. (G)
92. Agrette M.	4. Arnett E.
73. Ambrosio L.	12. Banks J.
14. Cooper T.	5. Brown J.
7. D'Alessio M.	16. Crawford J. (A)
25. Dec M. (A)	10. Delisle M.
13. Edwards K.	40. Delisle T.
23. Frasca N.	23. Greenberg L. (A)
88. Gowan B.	18. Jackman L.
81. Headrick E.	26. Langdon J.
9. Hughes C.	21. Mbuyi P. (A)
34. Kamzik K.	28. Munnings B.
96. Kuzma A.	34. Nansi H.
89. Lombardi U.	11. Nelson N. (A)
80. Murray J.	8. Roberts N.
61. Plante L.	2. Rogers B.
6. Saari J. (A)	19. Royston W.
26. Schouten J.	24. Sykora N.
10. Trevino T. (C)	22. Wray M.
	17. Zurawski C.
Substitutes
35. Burns C. (G)	31. Koprowski M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
04:53, 0 - 1, Wray M. (G), Nelson N. (A), Rogers B. (A2)
05:12, 0 - 2, Royston W. (G), Greenberg L. (A), Wray M. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
06:10, 1 - 2, Dec M. (G), Hughes C. (A), Cooper T. (A2)
10:05, 1 - 3, Greenberg L. (G), Jackman L. (A), Delisle T. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
17:36, 1 - 4, Nansi H. (Penalty Shot),
18:49, 1 - 5, Roberts N. (G), Jackman L. (A),

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Erie won 2.

Erie is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Owen has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Erie may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Erie won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 85:96. (average 4.3:4.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Erie won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 40:36. (average 4.4:4).

Last Results with these Odds

Erie Otters - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 35.77%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Owen Sound Attack - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 43.98%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erie Otters
OHL
28.02.26	Erie Otters - Owen Sound Attack	4:5 penalties ✺
26.02.26	Niagara IceDogs - Erie Otters	5:4 penalties ✺
21.02.26	Erie Otters - Kitchener Rangers	1:3 ✺
20.02.26	Erie Otters - Oshawa Generals	3:4 OT ✺
16.02.26	Guelph Storm - Erie Otters	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Owen Sound Attack
OHL
28.02.26	Erie Otters - Owen Sound Attack	4:5 penalties ✺
25.02.26	Owen Sound Attack - Oshawa Generals	2:3 OT ✺
21.02.26	Owen Sound Attack - Brampton Steelheads	5:0 ✺
19.02.26	Barrie Colts - Owen Sound Attack	4:3 penalties ✺
16.02.26	London Knights - Owen Sound Attack	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

OHL
28.02.26	Erie Otters - Owen Sound Attack	4:5 penalties
11.02.26	Erie Otters - Owen Sound Attack	8:3
05.12.25	Owen Sound Attack - Erie Otters	6:2
02.11.25	Owen Sound Attack - Erie Otters	8:3
08.03.25	Erie Otters - Owen Sound Attack	7:3
07.03.25	Erie Otters - Owen Sound Attack	4:1
15.02.25	Owen Sound Attack - Erie Otters	3:4

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