Match Info

OHL

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Meridian Centre (St. Catharines, ON)


	Niagara IceDogs		Kingston Frontenacs

	1	X	2
	2.8	4.39	2.06
	2.76	4.42	2.01	Watch
	2.63	4.2	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (2.83)	4.34 ↓ (4.45)	2.04 ↑ (1.96)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Niagara IceDogs
33.7%

Draw
21.2%

Kingston Frontenacs
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

20.6%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

21.7%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Niagara IceDogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Kingston Frontenacs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niagara IceDogs than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kingston Frontenacs than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Niagara IceDogs - Kingston Frontenacs Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kingston (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Yermolenko V. (G)	43. Betts G. (G)
72. Barnes B.	6. Bishop W. (A)
33. Chromiak J. (A)	22. Buttar N.
12. Czata E. (C)	17. Clark R.
27. Dell'Elce S.	9. Dervin K.
44. Doherty S.	18. Dever J.
17. Edgar R.	14. Frost M.
92. Galiyanov I.	77. Henderson M.
9. Hage A.	47. Kelly A.
64. Hull C.	41. Kulemin A.
6. Knauft J.	13. Kuzma R.
19. Monks J.	11. McGowan M. (A)
21. Patterson R. (A)	19. Mclean A.
93. Read N.	86. Misiak A.
16. Reid H.	25. Mondoux A.
61. Simon Wang	4. Moore L.
43. Smith R.	10. Pobezal T.
49. Spencer L.	27. Williamson V. (C)
8. Tiller G. (A)	36. Wright L.
Substitutes
77. Robertson C. (G)	76. Minchak M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
08:06, 0 - 1, Frost M. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
09:11, 1 - 1, Chromiak J. (G),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
05:27, 1 - 2, Frost M. (G), Wright L. (A), Henderson M. (A2)

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: )).

Niagara is Qualified for OHL (Play Offs )

Kingston is Qualified for OHL (Play Offs )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niagara won 2.

Niagara is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kingston has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Kingston may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kingston will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Niagara won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 57:87. (average 2.9:4.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Niagara won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:40. (average 3:4.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Niagara IceDogs - the odds 2.83 are the expected chance of winning is 32.47%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Niagara IceDogs
OHL
08.03.26	Brantford Bulldogs - Niagara IceDogs	6:4 ✺
06.03.26	Niagara IceDogs - Peterborough Petes	1:4 ✺
05.03.26	Niagara IceDogs - Saginaw Spirit	4:5 penalties ✺
01.03.26	North Bay Battalion - Niagara IceDogs	5:0 ✺
27.02.26	Guelph Storm - Niagara IceDogs	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLLLW
- Kingston Frontenacs
OHL
08.03.26	Kingston Frontenacs - Oshawa Generals	3:2 ✺
06.03.26	Kingston Frontenacs - Brampton Steelheads	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Sudbury Wolves - Kingston Frontenacs	5:3 ✺
27.02.26	Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds - Kingston Frontenacs	3:6 ✺
26.02.26	North Bay Battalion - Kingston Frontenacs	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

OHL
21.02.26	Kingston Frontenacs - Niagara IceDogs	3:4 OT
14.11.25	Kingston Frontenacs - Niagara IceDogs	4:3 OT
25.10.25	Niagara IceDogs - Kingston Frontenacs	4:1
09.03.25	Niagara IceDogs - Kingston Frontenacs	3:4 OT
22.02.25	Kingston Frontenacs - Niagara IceDogs	6:3
20.10.24	Niagara IceDogs - Kingston Frontenacs	4:3 OT
29.09.24	Kingston Frontenacs - Niagara IceDogs	2:5

Niagara IceDogs - Kingston Frontenacs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide