Match Info

OHL

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday

Location: Erie Insurance Arena (Erie, PA)


	Erie Otters		Oshawa Generals

	1	X	2
	1.8	5.11	3.11
	1.93	4.54	2.87	Watch
	1.85	4.2	3
	1.8	4.5	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.31)	4.59 ↑ (4.33)	3 ↑ (2.36)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erie Otters
49.5%

Draw
19.9%

Oshawa Generals
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

21.2%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

23.6%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erie Otters has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Erie Otters's performance.

Oshawa Generals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Oshawa Generals might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erie Otters than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Erie Otters that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oshawa Generals than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oshawa Generals could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
60. Tegelaar N. (G)	32. Humphries M. (G)
73. Ambrosio L.	16. Blaseg B.
27. Coombs R.	13. Byrd-Leitner P.
14. Cooper T.	14. Cormier B.
7. D'Alessio M.	26. Feeley C.
25. Dec M. (A)	98. Frolov A.
13. Edwards K.	96. Griffin O. (A)
23. Frasca N.	20. Hilton C.
88. Gowan B.	78. Kalto O.
81. Headrick E.	86. Laschon L.
9. Hughes C.	4. Moore L.
34. Kamzik K.	3. Murnane B.
96. Kuzma A.	79. O'Donnell A.
89. Lombardi U.	24. Posthumus L.
80. Murray J.	71. Roberts S.
61. Plante L.	42. Sang R.
6. Saari J. (A)	29. Smirnov V.
26. Schouten J.	11. Timmerman A.
10. Trevino T. (C)	28. Wang M.
Substitutes
1. Erliden N. (G)	30. Cholette J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 2)
06:00, 1 - 0, Hughes C. (G), Gowan B. (A), Lombardi U. (A2)
11:58, 1 - 1, Kalto O. (G), Byrd-Leitner P. (A), Griffin O. (A2)
16:47, 2 - 1, D'Alessio M. (G), Dec M. (A), Lombardi U. (A2)
17:22, 2 - 2, Sang R. (G), Cormier B. (A),
18:25, 3 - 2, Edwards K. (G), Cooper T. (A), Plante L. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
13:43, 3 - 3, Posthumus L. (G), Kalto O. (A), Murnane B. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (0 - 1)
01:01, 3 - 4, Posthumus L. (G), Moore L. (A),

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 10 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Erie won 0.

In recent matches, Erie has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Oshawa's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Oshawa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Erie might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Erie won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 70:66. (average 3.5:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Erie won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 42:30. (average 4.2:3).

Last Results with these Odds

Erie Otters - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 39.8%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Oshawa Generals - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 38.96%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erie Otters
OHL
16.02.26	Guelph Storm - Erie Otters	5:1 ✺
14.02.26	Erie Otters - Flint Firebirds	6:4 ✺
13.02.26	Brantford Bulldogs - Erie Otters	5:1 ✺
11.02.26	Erie Otters - Owen Sound Attack	8:3 ✺
07.02.26	Flint Firebirds - Erie Otters	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWLWL
- Oshawa Generals
OHL
18.02.26	Brantford Bulldogs - Oshawa Generals	4:2 ✺
16.02.26	Oshawa Generals - Flint Firebirds	0:5 ✺
13.02.26	Oshawa Generals - Peterborough Petes	8:4 ✺
11.02.26	Ottawa 67s - Oshawa Generals	6:0 ✺
08.02.26	Oshawa Generals - Sudbury Wolves	3:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

OHL
16.11.25	Oshawa Generals - Erie Otters	1:0
21.02.25	Erie Otters - Oshawa Generals	2:3
17.02.25	Oshawa Generals - Erie Otters	2:1 OT
17.02.24	Erie Otters - Oshawa Generals	1:2 penalties
26.01.24	Oshawa Generals - Erie Otters	6:5
05.02.23	Oshawa Generals - Erie Otters	4:0
14.01.23	Erie Otters - Oshawa Generals	1:3

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