Match Info

OHL

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Erie Insurance Arena (Erie, PA)


	Erie Otters		Flint Firebirds

	1	X	2
	5.38	5.92	1.39
	5.53	5.63	1.37	Watch
	5	5.5	1.36
	5.5	7.25	1.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.35 ↑ (4.54)	6.08 ↑ (4.94)	1.35 ↓ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erie Otters
17.1%

Draw
15%

Flint Firebirds
67.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.3%

18.7%

61%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

21.2%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erie Otters has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Flint Firebirds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Flint Firebirds's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erie Otters than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Erie Otters, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flint Firebirds than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Flint Firebirds, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Erie Otters - Flint Firebirds Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Burns C. (G)	55. Courville M. (G)
92. Agrette M.	19. Allen D.
73. Ambrosio L.	22. Anderson D.
27. Coombs R.	76. Aspinall N. (C)
14. Cooper T.	86. Battaglia J.
7. D'Alessio M.	27. Bonnyman J.
25. Dec M. (A)	13. Colosimo J.
13. Edwards K.	65. Fellinger R.
23. Frasca N.	14. Graziano L.
88. Gowan B.	11. He K.
81. Headrick E.	20. Komadoski G.
34. Kamzik K.	10. Lombardi J. (A)
96. Kuzma A.	68. Murata C.
89. Lombardi U.	95. Pazii I.
80. Murray J.	98. Podrekar U. (A)
61. Plante L.	77. Smith B.
6. Saari J. (A)	81. Tessier X.
26. Schouten J.	9. Thibodeau C.
10. Trevino T. (C)	8. Uljanskis D.
Substitutes
60. Tegelaar N. (G)	1. Vaccari M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
05:18, 0 - 1, He K. (G), Podrekar U. (A),
10:11, 1 - 1, Edwards K. (G), Schouten J. (A),
13:11, 2 - 1, Dec M. (G), Ambrosio L. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 2)
04:27, 2 - 2, Battaglia J. (G), Uljanskis D. (A), Thibodeau C. (A2)
04:39, 2 - 3, He K. (G), Thibodeau C. (A),
12:09, 3 - 3, Dec M. (G), Kuzma A. (A), Cooper T. (A2)
17:35, 4 - 3, Headrick E. (G), Kamzik K. (A), Gowan B. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
04:26, 4 - 4, Pazii I. (G), Podrekar U. (A), Uljanskis D. (A2)
10:30, 5 - 4, Edwards K. (G), Coombs R. (A),
12:39, 6 - 4, Headrick E. (G), Ambrosio L. (A),

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: )).

Flint is Qualified for OHL (Play Offs )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Erie won 0.

Erie has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Flint is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Flint is considered a favorite.

We predict that Flint will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Erie won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 60:73. (average 3:3.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Erie won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 30:44. (average 3:4.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erie Otters
OHL
13.02.26	Brantford Bulldogs - Erie Otters	5:1 ✺
11.02.26	Erie Otters - Owen Sound Attack	8:3 ✺
07.02.26	Flint Firebirds - Erie Otters	3:1 ✺
06.02.26	Saginaw Spirit - Erie Otters	4:1 ✺
05.02.26	Erie Otters - Guelph Storm	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLLL
- Flint Firebirds
OHL
13.02.26	Guelph Storm - Flint Firebirds	1:5 ✺
11.02.26	Flint Firebirds - Saginaw Spirit	4:5 ✺
07.02.26	Flint Firebirds - Erie Otters	3:1 ✺
06.02.26	Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds - Flint Firebirds	1:5 ✺
04.02.26	Sarnia Sting - Flint Firebirds	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

OHL
07.02.26	Flint Firebirds - Erie Otters	3:1
20.12.25	Erie Otters - Flint Firebirds	3:5
25.10.25	Flint Firebirds - Erie Otters	5:0
01.03.25	Erie Otters - Flint Firebirds	3:6
24.02.25	Erie Otters - Flint Firebirds	1:2 penalties
16.11.24	Flint Firebirds - Erie Otters	2:1
19.10.24	Flint Firebirds - Erie Otters	3:5

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