The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Oshawa Generals 31.8%
Draw 20.2%
Sudbury Wolves 48%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.1%
17.9%
44%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.9%
19.2%
41%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oshawa Generals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oshawa Generals's form might have worsened.
Sudbury Wolves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oshawa Generals than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oshawa Generals, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sudbury Wolves than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sudbury Wolves, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Cholette J. (G)
29. Frasca P. (G)
16. Blaseg B.
72. Bennett B.
13. Byrd-Leitner P.
44. Berehowsky D.
5. Diplacido L.
93. Blonda L.
26. Feeley C.
91. Chitaroni H.
8. Figliomeni A.
26. Chovan J.
12. Franssen H. (A)
19. Clayton B.
98. Frolov A.
11. Dean E.
96. Griffin O. (A)
24. Doucet H.
78. Kalto O.
7. Ewles G.
86. Laschon L.
84. Gonchar A.
4. Moore L. (A)
77. Henderson R. (A)
3. Murnane B.
81. Kostuch C.
24. Posthumus L.
66. Lemieux J.
71. Roberts S.
13. Martin H.
10. Rogowski B.
71. Nemec A.
42. Sang R.
4. O'Dell T.
29. Smirnov V.
97. Provorov V.
28. Wang M.
57. Smith B.
88. Ula G.
Substitutes
32. Humphries M. (G)
31. Bronas B. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
17:54, 1 - 0, Wang M. (G), Franssen H. (A), Posthumus L. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
07:10, 2 - 0, Figliomeni A. (G), Rogowski B. (A), Diplacido L. (A2)
14:56, 2 - 1, Gonchar A. (G), Lemieux J. (A), Nemec A. (A2)
17:59, 3 - 1, Smirnov V. (G), Blaseg B. (A), Byrd-Leitner P. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 4)
02:37, 4 - 1, Kalto O. (G), Griffin O. (A), Posthumus L. (A2)
03:44, 4 - 2, Chovan J. (G), Smith B. (A), Nemec A. (A2)
05:09, 4 - 3, Chovan J. (G), Lemieux J. (A), Nemec A. (A2)
08:44, 4 - 4, Nemec A. (G), Berehowsky D. (A),
19:33, 4 - 5, Nemec A. (G), Gonchar A. (A), Chovan J. (A2)
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 10 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oshawa won 3.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Sudbury may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Oshawa has had a series of away games.
Recently, Sudbury has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Oshawa won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 83:69. (average 4.2:3.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Oshawa won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 43:33. (average 4.3:3.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Oshawa Generals - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 38.14%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Sudbury Wolves - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 43.98%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Cholette J. (G) 
Byrd-Leitner P. 
Chovan J. 
Frolov A. 
Kalto O. 
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