The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Oshawa Generals 34%
Draw 21.6%
Sudbury Wolves 44.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
28.2%
21.3%
50.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.3%
22.8%
46.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oshawa Generals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oshawa Generals's performance.
Sudbury Wolves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sudbury Wolves might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oshawa Generals than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sudbury Wolves than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Oshawa Generals - Sudbury Wolves Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
32. Humphries M. (G)
29. Frasca P. (G)
98. Cloutier K.
13. Adams T.
43. Costello C.
93. Blonda L.
5. Diplacido L.
26. Chovan J. (A)
12. Franssen H. (C)
19. Clayton B. (C)
7. Funck L.
84. Gonchar A.
37. Hedley R.
22. Greene N.
21. Hinde T.
51. Harris K.
78. Kalto O. (A)
2. Kearns F.
86. Laschon L.
73. Kwajah K.
18. Malthaler J.
18. Ladds L.
89. Mazzoni C.
66. Lemieux J. (A)
3. Murnane B. (A)
27. Martin H.
79. O'Donnell A.
71. Nemec A.
23. Pape M.
97. Provorov V.
10. Rogowski B. (A)
96. Smith P.
96. Taylor C.
88. Ula G.
4. Therrien J.
86. Walker M.
11. Timmerman A.
5. Wreggitt C.
Substitutes
72. Reznik C. (G)
31. Bronas B. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
04:05, 1 - 0, Pape M. (G), Therrien J. (A), Franssen H. (A2)
16:20, 1 - 1, Nemec A. (G), Gonchar A. (A), Provorov V. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
10:58, 2 - 1, Hinde T. (G), Pape M. (A), O'Donnell A. (A2)
19:52, 2 - 2, Kwajah K. (Penalty Shot),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (0 - 1)
1, Cloutier K. (Penalty Shot),
1, Nemec A. (Penalty Shot),
2, Taylor C. (Penalty Shot),
2, Kwajah K. (Penalty Shot),
3, Therrien J. (Penalty Shot),
3, Adams T. (Penalty Shot),
4, Pape M. (Penalty Shot),
4, Chovan J. (Penalty Shot),
5, Funck L. (Penalty Shot),
5, Lemieux J. (Penalty Shot),
6, Kalto O. (Penalty Shot),
6, Gonchar A. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 6th in the Promotion - OHL Playoffs and 2nd in the Promotion - OHL Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oshawa won 2.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Recently, Sudbury has had a run of games away from home.
Sudbury is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Oshawa has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 82:72 (averaging 4.1:3.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Oshawa against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 42:36 goals (averaging 4.2:3.6 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Sudbury Wolves - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50.49%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.