Match Info

OHL

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Erie Insurance Arena (Erie, PA)


	Erie Otters		Peterborough Petes

	1	X	2
	2.6	4.16	2.16
	2.4	4	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.58)	4.08 ↑ (4.08)	2.21 ↑ (2.14)

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erie Otters
36.4%

Draw
22.3%

Peterborough Petes
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

22.3%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

21.8%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erie Otters has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Peterborough Petes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erie Otters than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough Petes than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Erliden N. (G)	34. Johnston M. (G)
92. Agrette M.	15. Cameron C. (C)
73. Ambrosio L.	91. DiCunzolo G.
27. Coombs R.	28. Faulkner B.
14. Cooper T.	88. Gowan B.
25. Dec M.	12. Kolarik L.
11. Edwards D. (A)	10. Levac A.
13. Edwards K.	44. Lutz Y.
86. Frasca G. (C)	3. Marentette T.
23. Frasca N.	29. McCallum B.
8. Frazer G.	61. McGregor K.
91. Hammond B. (A)	16. Novotny A.
9. Hughes C.	11. Partridge B.
34. Kamzik K.	72. Perreault M.
88. Misiak A.	71. Petrovski J. (A)
80. Murray J.	92. Soto M.
61. Plante L.	6. Strohack G.
6. Saari J.	7. Ula G.
10. Trevino T. (A)	26. Young A. (A)
3. Turner O.
Substitutes
35. Burns C. (G)	30. Rye E. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
01:08, 1 - 0, Saari J. (G), Dec M. (A),
14:50, 1 - 1, Perreault M. (G), Levac A. (A), Soto M. (A2)
19:20, 2 - 1, Edwards D. (G), Frazer G. (A), Ambrosio L. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 1)
00:29, 3 - 1, Dec M. (G),
13:50, 4 - 1, Hughes C. (G), Coombs R. (A),
18:38, 5 - 1, Frasca G. (G), Edwards D. (A), Dec M. (A2)
19:51, 5 - 2, Kolarik L. (G), Petrovski J. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Erie won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Erie may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Erie won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 93:52. (average 4.7:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Erie won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 45:21. (average 5:2.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Erie Otters - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 35.24%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erie Otters
OHL
26.11.25	Erie Otters - Brampton Steelheads	2:5 ✺
22.11.25	Erie Otters - Sarnia Sting	4:2 ✺
21.11.25	Erie Otters - Barrie Colts	2:3 penalties ✺
16.11.25	Oshawa Generals - Erie Otters	1:0 ✺
14.11.25	Sudbury Wolves - Erie Otters	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWLLW
- Peterborough Petes
OHL
27.11.25	Peterborough Petes - North Bay Battalion	1:3 ✺
22.11.25	Peterborough Petes - Kingston Frontenacs	6:2 ✺
21.11.25	Kingston Frontenacs - Peterborough Petes	2:3 OT ✺
20.11.25	Peterborough Petes - Brampton Steelheads	7:1 ✺
15.11.25	Barrie Colts - Peterborough Petes	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

OHL
02.10.25	Peterborough Petes - Erie Otters	2:3 penalties
02.03.25	Erie Otters - Peterborough Petes	7:2
18.01.25	Peterborough Petes - Erie Otters	1:5
29.02.24	Peterborough Petes - Erie Otters	2:4
28.10.23	Erie Otters - Peterborough Petes	1:2
04.03.23	Erie Otters - Peterborough Petes	5:3
29.09.22	Peterborough Petes - Erie Otters	5:4 penalties

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