Match Info

OHL

Date: 19 December 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Erie Insurance Arena (Erie, PA) 🌤️ ...


	Erie Otters		Sarnia Sting

	1	X	2
	1.86	4.27	3.13
	1.84	4.36	3.18	Watch
	1.8	4.2	3.1
	1.8	4.4	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.84)	4.31 ↓ (4.36)	3.12 ↓ (3.18)

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erie Otters
49.8%

Draw
21.1%

Sarnia Sting
29.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

21.1%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

20.5%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erie Otters has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Sarnia Sting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erie Otters than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarnia Sting than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Erliden N. (G)	32. Quinlan P. (G)
92. Agrette M.	6. Aucoin C.
73. Ambrosio L.	33. Aucoin K.
27. Coombs R.	16. Barr J.
14. Cooper T.	61. Bax J.
7. D'Alessio M.	40. Beamish L.
25. Dec M.	23. Brown R.
13. Edwards K.	84. Challenger T.
86. Frasca G.	17. Di Iorio A.
8. Frazer G.	81. Edwards B.
81. Headrick E.	10. Hall C.
9. Hughes C.	93. Lammens B.
34. Kamzik K.	55. Manza M.
89. lombardi U.	12. Pickell B.
80. Murray J.	7. Reese J.
61. Plante L.	19. Solomon H.
6. Saari J.	14. Van Volsen J.
10. Trevino T.	11. Walos E.
3. Turner O.	5. Young M.
Substitutes
35. Burns C. (G)	30. Maillet E. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (4 - 0)
01:34, 1 - 0, Headrick E. (G),
11:10, 2 - 0, Dec M. (G), Frasca G. (A), D'Alessio M. (A2)
14:11, 3 - 0, Frasca G. (G), Headrick E. (A),
17:26, 4 - 0, Coombs R. (G), Frasca G. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
00:42, 4 - 1, Di Iorio A. (G), Bax J. (A), Van Volsen J. (A2)
17:55, 4 - 2, Di Iorio A. (G), Young M. (A), Walos E. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
00:39, 5 - 2, Dec M. (G), Trevino T. (A), Frasca G. (A2)
01:06, 6 - 2, Frasca G. (G), Dec M. (A), Trevino T. (A2)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Erie won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Sarnia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Erie might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Erie won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 74:72. (average 3.7:3.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Erie won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 44:37. (average 4:3.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Erie Otters - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 49.98%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Sarnia Sting - the odds 3.18 are the expected chance of winning is 28.92%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erie Otters
OHL
13.12.25	Erie Otters - North Bay Battalion	3:1 ✺
11.12.25	Erie Otters - Brantford Bulldogs	4:8 ✺
05.12.25	Owen Sound Attack - Erie Otters	6:2 ✺
02.12.25	Kitchener Rangers - Erie Otters	2:3 ✺
29.11.25	Erie Otters - Peterborough Petes	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WLLWW
- Sarnia Sting
OHL
17.12.25	Sarnia Sting - Kitchener Rangers	2:5 ✺
14.12.25	Sarnia Sting - Guelph Storm	6:4 ✺
13.12.25	Flint Firebirds - Sarnia Sting	2:3 OT ✺
12.12.25	Guelph Storm - Sarnia Sting	2:3 penalties ✺
07.12.25	Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds - Sarnia Sting	7:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.5 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

OHL
22.11.25	Erie Otters - Sarnia Sting	4:2
12.03.25	Sarnia Sting - Erie Otters	5:6
01.02.25	Sarnia Sting - Erie Otters	4:1
11.01.25	Erie Otters - Sarnia Sting	3:4
09.11.24	Erie Otters - Sarnia Sting	4:0
09.02.24	Sarnia Sting - Erie Otters	6:4
15.01.24	Erie Otters - Sarnia Sting	5:2

Erie Otters - Sarnia Sting