Match Info

OHL

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Dort Financial Center (Flint, MI)


	Flint Firebirds		Sarnia Sting

	1	X	2
	2.00	4.59	2.82
	1.93	4.43	2.92	Watch
	1.97	4.50	2.80
	1.86	4.20	2.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.86)	4.43 ↓ (4.45)	2.86 ↓ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flint Firebirds
47.3%

Draw
20.7%

Sarnia Sting
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

20.7%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

22%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flint Firebirds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Sarnia Sting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flint Firebirds than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarnia Sting than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Flint Firebirds - Sarnia Sting Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Courville M. (G)	34. Tkach-Tkachenko I. (G)
22. Anderson D. (A)	6. Aucoin C. (A)
44. Beauchesne C.	33. Aucoin K.
91. Bleick Z.	18. Campbell D.
2. Bogas N.	13. Chadwick C.
27. Bonnyman J.	84. Challenger T.
88. Cunningham R.	17. Di Iorio A. (C)
65. Fellinger R. (A)	41. Emerton C. (A)
14. Graziano L.	71. Gaughan C.
21. Guizzetti C.	27. Gulbrandsen J.
8. Klaucans M.	26. Hawery L.
10. Lombardi J. (C)	15. Herres W.
4. Morgan B.	53. Holmes P.
86. Murata C.	24. Katolicky S.
79. Nutting L.	93. Lammens B.
7. Paul J.	55. Manza M.
11. Smith B.	2. Sgro A.
81. Tessier X.	14. Van Volsen J. (A)
9. Williams C.	11. Walos E.
Substitutes
35. Edgcumbe L. (G)	31. Osipenko K. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 2)
01:00, 1 - 0, Williams C. (G), Anderson D. (A), Lombardi J. (A2)
05:48, 2 - 0, Graziano L. (G), Morgan B. (A), Williams C. (A2)
07:22, 2 - 1, Walos E. (G), Emerton C. (A), Hawery L. (A2)
11:40, 2 - 2, Walos E. (G), Holmes P. (A), Campbell D. (A2)
16:48, 3 - 2, Smith B. (G), Williams C. (A), Nutting L. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
08:20, 4 - 2, Tessier X. (G), Cunningham R. (A), Bogas N. (A2)
12:07, 5 - 2, Smith B. (G), Morgan B. (A), Nutting L. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
11:12, 5 - 3, Holmes P. (G),
19:10, 5 - 4, Challenger T. (G), Katolicky S. (A), Gaughan C. (A2)
19:45, 6 - 4, Lombardi J. (G), Anderson D. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flint won 4.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Sarnia may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Flint holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Flint has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 79:69 (averaging 4:3.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Flint against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 39:28 goals (averaging 3.9:2.8 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Flint Firebirds - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 49.41%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Sarnia Sting - the odds 3.07 are the expected chance of winning is 29.94%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flint Firebirds
OHL
07.10.26	Flint Firebirds - Kitchener Rangers	5:2 ✺
04.10.26	London Knights - Flint Firebirds	2:7 ✺
03.10.26	Flint Firebirds - Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds	2:3 ✺
26.09.26	Flint Firebirds - Niagara IceDogs	2:5 ✺
25.09.26	Windsor Spitfires - Flint Firebirds	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWLLW
- Sarnia Sting
OHL
09.10.26	Sarnia Sting - Oshawa Generals	4:0 ✺
04.10.26	Oshawa Generals - Sarnia Sting	0:3 ✺
03.10.26	Barrie Colts - Sarnia Sting	5:3 ✺
02.10.26	Sarnia Sting - Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds	3:4 AET ✺
27.09.26	Ottawa 67s - Sarnia Sting	3:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

OHL
06.03.26	Sarnia Sting - Flint Firebirds	1:3
04.02.26	Sarnia Sting - Flint Firebirds	3:6
31.01.26	Flint Firebirds - Sarnia Sting	6:3
07.01.26	Flint Firebirds - Sarnia Sting	7:4
13.12.25	Flint Firebirds - Sarnia Sting	2:3 OT
30.11.25	Sarnia Sting - Flint Firebirds	3:2 penalties
04.10.25	Flint Firebirds - Sarnia Sting	2:4

Flint Firebirds - Sarnia Sting: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide