The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sarnia Sting 20.5%
Draw 18.6%
Guelph Storm 60.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
28.1%
19%
52.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.5%
20.7%
48.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarnia Sting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sarnia Sting's form might have worsened.
Guelph Storm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guelph Storm's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarnia Sting than the current prediction. (+10%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sarnia Sting, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guelph Storm than the current prediction. (-12.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guelph Storm, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sarnia Sting - Guelph Storm Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:5
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Osipenko K. (G)
30. Jovanovski Z. (G)
6. Aucoin C. (A)
86. Avery J.
33. Aucoin K.
15. Bartovic A.
18. Campbell D.
8. Carscadden A.
84. Challenger T.
22. Czata E.
23. Dunn M.
29. Dravecky V.
41. Emerton C. (A)
3. Frossard E.
71. Gaughan C.
10. Griffin O. (A)
27. Gulbrandsen J.
5. Hirst B.
26. Hawery L.
91. Hopkins T. (A)
15. Herres W.
14. Jenken N.
53. Holmes P. (A)
19. Kazda T.
9. Jaworski S.
28. Kucher C.
24. Katolicky S.
25. Roobroeck R. (A)
93. Lammens B.
81. Shybinskyi I.
55. Manza M.
21. Spada G.
2. Sgro A.
96. Stevens C.
14. Van Volsen J.
12. Topp R. (C)
11. Walos E.
77. Wycisk J.
Substitutes
34. Tkach-Tkachenko I. (G)
62. Hrebik B. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
00:21, 0 - 1, Roobroeck R. (G), Czata E. (A),
02:42, 1 - 1, Walos E. (G), Aucoin C. (A), Emerton C. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 3)
02:41, 1 - 2, Bartovic A. (G), Dravecky V. (A), Kazda T. (A2)
11:45, 1 - 3, Dravecky V. (G), Shybinskyi I. (A), Carscadden A. (A2)
17:04, 1 - 4, Wycisk J. (G),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
15:39, 2 - 4, Emerton C. (G), Van Volsen J. (A), Hawery L. (A2)
19:59, 2 - 5, Hopkins T. (G), Roobroeck R. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarnia won 3.
Sarnia has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Guelph is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Sarnia may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Sarnia has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 78:61 (averaging 3.9:3.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sarnia against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 39:26 goals (averaging 3.9:2.6 per game).
Watch
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Osipenko K. (G) 
Aucoin C. (A) 
Bartovic A. 
Gulbrandsen J. 
Kazda T. 
Shybinskyi I. 
Tkach-Tkachenko I. (G) 
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