Match Info

OHL

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday

Location: Erie Insurance Arena (Erie, PA)


	Erie Otters		Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds

	1	X	2
	6	5.57	1.31
	6.35	5.75	1.32	Watch
	8	6	1.22
	6.5	7.75	1.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.71 ↑ (4.81)	6.27 ↑ (4.71)	1.27 ↓ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erie Otters
13.6%

Draw
14.5%

Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds
71.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.1%

19.5%

61.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

20.4%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erie Otters has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Erie Otters's form might have worsened.

Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erie Otters than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Erie Otters, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Burns C. (G)	36. Miller L. (G)
92. Agrette M.	71. Andrew C.
73. Ambrosio L.	28. Brown C.
27. Coombs R.	27. Charron J.
14. Cooper T.	22. Cloutier J.
7. D'Alessio M.	14. Croskery C.
25. Dec M. (A)	6. Fischer L.
13. Edwards K.	77. Fitzgerald C.
23. Frasca N.	13. Hayes T. (A)
88. Gowan B.	89. Kaczynski R.
81. Headrick E.	91. Laus N.
34. Kamzik K.	9. Martin J.
96. Kuzma A.	8. McConnell-Barker B.
89. Lombardi U.	24. McKenzie Q.
80. Murray J.	26. Mignosa M. (A)
61. Plante L.	23. Pangretitsch H.
6. Saari J. (A)	25. Reid C. (A)
26. Schouten J.	12. Smith B.
10. Trevino T. (C)	15. Zvolensky T.
Substitutes
60. Tegelaar N. (G)	32. George C. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
17:25, 0 - 1, Brown C. (G), Reid C. (A), Fischer L. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
02:22, 1 - 1, Murray J. (G), Trevino T. (A), Cooper T. (A2)
14:47, 2 - 1, Dec M. (G), Kuzma A. (A), Agrette M. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
16:19, 2 - 2, Martin J. (G), Croskery C. (A),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 1)
1, (Penalty Shot),
1, (Penalty Shot),
2, (Penalty Shot),
2, (Penalty Shot),
3, (Penalty Shot),
3, (Penalty Shot),
4, (Penalty Shot),
4, (Penalty Shot),
5, (Penalty Shot),
5, (Penalty Shot),

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Erie won 3.

Erie has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sault Ste. Marie is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Sault Ste. Marie may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sault Ste. Marie is the team to beat.

We predict that Sault Ste. Marie will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Erie won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 70:66. (average 3.5:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Erie won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 30:26. (average 3.3:2.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Erie Otters - the odds 4.81 are the expected chance of winning is 19.13%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 61.34%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erie Otters
OHL
24.01.26	Erie Otters - Kitchener Rangers	3:4 OT ✺
23.01.26	Guelph Storm - Erie Otters	4:3 OT ✺
17.01.26	Erie Otters - Saginaw Spirit	1:6 ✺
16.01.26	Erie Otters - Windsor Spitfires	2:3 ✺
10.01.26	London Knights - Erie Otters	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds
OHL
29.01.26	Niagara IceDogs - Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds	6:3 ✺
25.01.26	Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds - North Bay Battalion	6:1 ✺
24.01.26	Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds - North Bay Battalion	3:0 ✺
21.01.26	Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds - London Knights	5:2 ✺
16.01.26	Guelph Storm - Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

OHL
22.10.25	Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds - Erie Otters	2:5
22.11.24	Erie Otters - Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds	6:3
13.11.24	Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds - Erie Otters	4:3 OT
21.01.24	Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds - Erie Otters	6:2
23.11.23	Erie Otters - Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds	3:2 OT
18.02.23	Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds - Erie Otters	5:6 OT
24.11.22	Erie Otters - Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds	4:2

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