The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Erie Otters 37%
Draw 21.6%
Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds 41.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35.9%
21.3%
42.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.5%
22.2%
40.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Erie Otters has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erie Otters than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
88. Egorov D. (G)
2. Vermirovsky D. (G)
92. Agrette M.
8. Ashcroft C.
73. Ambrosio L.
28. Brown C.
21. Arkko L.
27. Charron J.
91. Beamish L.
14. Croskery C.
25. Dec M.
83. Daley T.
13. Edwards K.
77. Fitzgerald C.
15. Gesink A.
13. Hayes T.
81. Headrick E.
89. Kaczynski R.
2. Henry T.
91. Laus N.
34. Kamzik K.
74. Licastro J.
27. Kennedy C.
11. Long N.
89. Lombardi U.
93. Martin J.
4. McArthur B.
24. McKenzie Q.
29. Michalski G.
6. Moore L.
80. Murray J.
12. Smith B.
6. Saari J.
22. Szongoth D.
96. Schuster P.
17. Weiss C.
10. Trevino T.
21. Winkelhofer J.
Substitutes
30. Karbowski L. (G)
30. Camputaro W. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
08:24, 1 - 0, Beamish L. (G), Henry T. (A), McArthur B. (A2)
15:36, 1 - 1, Laus N. (G), Hayes T. (A), Fitzgerald C. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
09:43, 1 - 2, Daley T. (G), Laus N. (A),
19:27, 1 - 3, Smith B. (G), Fitzgerald C. (A), McKenzie Q. (A2)
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 4th in the Promotion - OHL Playoffs and 1st in the Promotion - OHL Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Erie won 3.
Erie has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Sault Ste. Marie is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Sault Ste. Marie may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Erie has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 71:65 (averaging 3.6:3.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Erie against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 33:28 goals (averaging 3.3:2.8 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Erie Otters - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 35.91%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.