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Current Win Probability
Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds 39.6%
Draw 21.7%
Kitchener Rangers 38.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.6%
21.6%
38.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.8%
23.2%
41.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Kitchener Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kitchener Rangers than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
2. Vermirovsky D. (G)
39. Schaubel J. (G)
20. Anderson C.
73. Andreev R.
8. Ashcroft C.
9. Anstis A.
28. Brown C.
11. Arquette C. (A)
27. Charron J. (A)
89. Bilecki A. (A)
14. Croskery C.
17. Cameron W.
83. Daley T.
13. Ellis H.
77. Fitzgerald C.
91. Forrest A.
13. Hayes T. (C)
29. Gombar J.
89. Kaczynski R.
55. Kut T.
91. Laus N.
93. LaBrash J.
74. Licastro J.
37. Lam T.
93. Martin J.
26. Nicholson E.
24. McKenzie Q. (A)
98. Puglisi C.
6. Moore L.
44. Roberson R.
12. Smith B.
86. Romano L. (A)
22. Szongoth D.
23. Santala L.
17. Weiss C.
21. Schneider K.
21. Winkelhofer J.
2. Toporowski D.
Substitutes
36. Miller L. (G)
30. Hriczov M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
19:35, 0 - 1, Romano L. (G), Lam T. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
01:30, 0 - 2, Santala L. (G), Lam T. (A), Bilecki A. (A2)
06:11, 1 - 2, Smith B. (G), Ashcroft C. (A),
17:51, 2 - 2, Kaczynski R. (G), Hayes T. (A), Brown C. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
01:09, 3 - 2, Winkelhofer J. (G), Laus N. (A), Fitzgerald C. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sault Ste. Marie won 1.
Sault Ste. Marie is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Kitchener has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Kitchener may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Sault Ste. Marie has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 58:74 (averaging 2.9:3.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sault Ste. Marie against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 38:37 goals (averaging 3.8:3.7 per game).
Watch
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Vermirovsky D. (G) 
Schaubel J. (G) 
Anderson C. 
Andreev R. 
Szongoth D. 
Santala L. 
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