The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Flint Firebirds 40.6%
Draw 21.7%
Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds 37.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
51%
20.8%
28.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.6%
22.7%
30.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Flint Firebirds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Flint Firebirds's form might have worsened.
Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flint Firebirds than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Flint Firebirds, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
74. Bennett T. (G)
2. Vermirovsky D. (G)
22. Anderson D. (A)
20. Anderson C.
44. Beauchesne C.
8. Ashcroft C.
2. Bogas N.
15. Barbeau K.
27. Bonnyman J.
28. Brown C.
54. Bray J.
14. Croskery C. (A)
88. Cunningham R.
83. Daley T.
3. Faria N.
16. Evans S. (A)
65. Fellinger R. (A)
77. Fitzgerald C.
14. Graziano L.
13. Hayes T. (C)
8. Klaucans M.
91. Laus N.
10. Lombardi J. (C)
11. Long N.
4. Morgan B.
93. Martin J.
86. Murata C.
24. McKenzie Q. (A)
79. Nutting L.
12. Smith B.
7. Paul J.
22. Szongoth D.
11. Smith B.
3. Turner O.
81. Tessier X.
17. Weiss C.
9. Williams C.
21. Winkelhofer J.
Substitutes
55. Courville M. (G)
30. Camputaro W. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
04:24, 1 - 0, Lombardi J. (G), Faria N. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - OHL Playoffs and 1st in the Promotion - OHL Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flint won 3.
Flint is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Sault Ste. Marie has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Sault Ste. Marie may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Sault Ste. Marie has had a run of games away from home.
Flint is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Flint has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 64:75 (averaging 3.2:3.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Flint against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 30:43 goals (averaging 3:4.3 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Flint Firebirds - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.04%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.