Match Info

RUSSIA: VHL

Date: 4 February 2023, Saturday


	Ermak Angarsk		Buran Voronezh

	1	X	2
	2.56	3.64	2.47
	2.53	3.82	2.39	Watch
	2.5	3.75	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (3.28)	3.74 ↓ (3.8)	2.41 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ermak Angarsk
36.7%

Draw
24.8%

Buran Voronezh
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

24.6%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

23.5%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ermak Angarsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ermak Angarsk's performance.

Buran Voronezh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Buran Voronezh might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ermak Angarsk than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ermak Angarsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buran Voronezh than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Buran Voronezh could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ermak Angarsk - Buran Voronezh Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ermak won 2.

Ermak is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Buran is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ermak could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Ermak have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Ermak won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 60-51.

Including matches at home between the teams Ermak won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 33-20.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ermak Angarsk
VHL
28.01.23	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Ermak Angarsk	3:1 ✺
26.01.23	Chelmet - Ermak Angarsk	2:3 ✺
24.01.23	Zauralie Kurgan - Ermak Angarsk	6:1 ✺
22.01.23	Gornyak-UGMK - Ermak Angarsk	1:0 ✺
16.01.23	Ermak Angarsk - Khimik	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWLLL
- Buran Voronezh
VHL
02.02.23	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Buran Voronezh	6:3 ✺
30.01.23	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Buran Voronezh	6:1 ✺
28.01.23	Omskie Krylia - Buran Voronezh	3:1 ✺
23.01.23	Buran Voronezh - Zvezda Moscow	3:0 ✺
21.01.23	Buran Voronezh - AKM	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
19.09.22	Buran Voronezh - Ermak Angarsk	4:1
16.12.21	Buran Voronezh - Ermak Angarsk	3:0
06.11.21	Ermak Angarsk - Buran Voronezh	2:1 penalties
05.02.21	Buran Voronezh - Ermak Angarsk	5:2
19.09.20	Ermak Angarsk - Buran Voronezh	4:1
02.12.19	Ermak Angarsk - Buran Voronezh	5:2
05.12.18	Buran Voronezh - Ermak Angarsk	5:2

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