Match Info

RUSSIA: VHL

Date: 24 January 2023, Tuesday


	Zauralie Kurgan		Ermak Angarsk

	1	X	2
	1.29	4.9	7
	1.36	5.19	7
	1.3	5.65	7.7	Watch
	1.31	5.2	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.69)	5.24 ↑ (4.2)	7.28 ↑ (4.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zauralie Kurgan
69.8%

Draw
17.5%

Ermak Angarsk
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

22.2%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

21.4%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zauralie Kurgan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zauralie Kurgan's performance.

Ermak Angarsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ermak Angarsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zauralie Kurgan than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zauralie Kurgan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ermak Angarsk than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ermak Angarsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Zauralie Kurgan - Ermak Angarsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zauralie won 4.

Zauralie in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Ermak has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ermak could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Ermak have a series of home games.

In this match Zauralie is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Zauralie to win the game is with odds 1.35.

Last 32 head-to-head matches Zauralie won 19 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 75-56.

Including matches at home between the teams Zauralie won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 35-28.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zauralie Kurgan
VHL
22.01.23	Zauralie Kurgan - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	4:3 penalties ✺
20.01.23	Zauralie Kurgan - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	4:1 ✺
18.01.23	Zauralie Kurgan - Omskie Krylia	4:0 ✺
14.01.23	Zvezda Moscow - Zauralie Kurgan	1:3 ✺
12.01.23	AKM - Zauralie Kurgan	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26 WWWWW
- Ermak Angarsk
VHL
22.01.23	Gornyak-UGMK - Ermak Angarsk	1:0 ✺
16.01.23	Ermak Angarsk - Khimik	3:4 ✺
14.01.23	Ermak Angarsk - Ryazan	0:2 ✺
12.01.23	Ermak Angarsk - Tambov	1:2 ✺
10.01.23	Ermak Angarsk - Dizel Penza	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
30.09.22	Ermak Angarsk - Zauralie Kurgan	0:1
09.01.22	Zauralie Kurgan - Ermak Angarsk	4:5 OT
15.10.21	Ermak Angarsk - Zauralie Kurgan	1:3
24.01.21	Ermak Angarsk - Zauralie Kurgan	1:4
08.01.21	Zauralie Kurgan - Ermak Angarsk	1:0
22.01.20	Ermak Angarsk - Zauralie Kurgan	2:1
05.11.19	Zauralie Kurgan - Ermak Angarsk	2:1 OT

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