Match Info

RUSSIA: VHL

Date: 26 January 2023, Thursday


	Chelmet		Ermak Angarsk

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.6	5.4
	1.43	4.86	5.93
	1.39	5.15	6.15	Watch
	1.43	4.8	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.54)	4.85 ↑ (4.5)	5.82 ↑ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelmet
65.2%

Draw
19%

Ermak Angarsk
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

20.8%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

20.4%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelmet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Ermak Angarsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelmet than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ermak Angarsk than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Chelmet - Ermak Angarsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Chelmet will win (votes: 1 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chelmet won 4.

Recent matches Chelmet is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ermak has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Chelmet is a favorite.

Last 25 head-to-head matches Chelmet won 15 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 69-61.

Including matches at home between the teams Chelmet won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 32-32.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Chelmet
VHL
24.01.23	Chelmet - Omskie Krylia	1:2 ✺
22.01.23	Chelmet - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	0:4 ✺
16.01.23	Zvezda Moscow - Chelmet	1:3 ✺
14.01.23	AKM - Chelmet	4:3 OT ✺
12.01.23	Lada Togliatti - Chelmet	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LLWLW
- Ermak Angarsk
VHL
24.01.23	Zauralie Kurgan - Ermak Angarsk	6:1 ✺
22.01.23	Gornyak-UGMK - Ermak Angarsk	1:0 ✺
16.01.23	Ermak Angarsk - Khimik	3:4 ✺
14.01.23	Ermak Angarsk - Ryazan	0:2 ✺
12.01.23	Ermak Angarsk - Tambov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
28.09.22	Ermak Angarsk - Chelmet	3:4 OT
11.01.22	Chelmet - Ermak Angarsk	5:2
10.10.21	Ermak Angarsk - Chelmet	2:0
26.01.21	Ermak Angarsk - Chelmet	1:7
14.11.20	Chelmet - Ermak Angarsk	3:2 OT
16.01.20	Ermak Angarsk - Chelmet	2:0
11.11.19	Chelmet - Ermak Angarsk	1:2 OT

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