Match Info

RUSSIA: VHL

Date: 28 January 2023, Saturday


	Yuzhny Ural Orsk		Ermak Angarsk

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.3	4.6
	1.56	4.42	4.92
	1.53	4.7	4.8	Watch
	1.52	4.5	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.57)	4.48 ↑ (4.4)	4.78 ↓ (4.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yuzhny Ural Orsk
60.3%

Draw
20.5%

Ermak Angarsk
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

21.2%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

21%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yuzhny Ural Orsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Ermak Angarsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yuzhny Ural Orsk than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Ermak Angarsk aligns with the current prediction.

Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Ermak Angarsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Yuzhny Ural won 2.

Recent matches Yuzhny Ural is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ermak has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Yuzhny Ural could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Yuzhny Ural is a favorite.

Last 31 head-to-head matches Yuzhny Ural won 12 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 19 matches and goals 85-87.

Including matches at home between the teams Yuzhny Ural won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 47-42.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yuzhny Ural Orsk
VHL
26.01.23	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	2:3 ✺
24.01.23	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:3 ✺
22.01.23	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Omskie Krylia	4:3 ✺
18.01.23	Zvezda Moscow - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	6:0 ✺
16.01.23	AKM - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LLWLW
- Ermak Angarsk
VHL
26.01.23	Chelmet - Ermak Angarsk	2:3 ✺
24.01.23	Zauralie Kurgan - Ermak Angarsk	6:1 ✺
22.01.23	Gornyak-UGMK - Ermak Angarsk	1:0 ✺
16.01.23	Ermak Angarsk - Khimik	3:4 ✺
14.01.23	Ermak Angarsk - Ryazan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
26.09.22	Ermak Angarsk - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	4:3
13.01.22	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Ermak Angarsk	3:1
13.10.21	Ermak Angarsk - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	4:3 OT
20.01.21	Ermak Angarsk - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	6:5 OT
05.01.21	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Ermak Angarsk	5:2
18.01.20	Ermak Angarsk - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	3:2
09.11.19	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Ermak Angarsk	4:2

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