Match Info

RUSSIA: NMHL - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 29 March 2024, Friday


	Ermak Angarsk		Yunison Moscow

	1	X	2
	5.25	5.1	1.42
	4.75	4	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	5 ↓ (5.66)	4.55 ↓ (5.15)	1.45 ↑ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ermak Angarsk
18%

Draw
19.8%

Yunison Moscow
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.2%

17.8%

66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.7%

16.1%

72.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ermak Angarsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Yunison Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ermak Angarsk than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yunison Moscow than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yunison Moscow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
00:55, 0 - 1, Busygin Y. (G), Yarovoy S. (A),
14:53, 0 - 2, Galiev R. (G), Shlykov V. (A), Detkov I. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
09:38, 0 - 3, Busygin Y. (G), Yarovoy S. (A), Shlykov V. (A2)
17:13, 0 - 4, Govorkov R. (G), Shlykov V. (A), Sychev V. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

3rd leg. Yunison Moscow (NMHL) leads series 2-0.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ermak won 0.

Recent matches Ermak is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Yunison is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recently Yunison have a series of home games.

In this match Yunison is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Ermak won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Ermak won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ermak Angarsk
RHL
26.03.24	Yunison Moscow - Ermak Angarsk	1:0 ✺
25.03.24	Yunison Moscow - Ermak Angarsk	2:1 OT ✺
14.03.24	Ermak Angarsk - Granit Chekhov	4:3 OT ✺
13.03.24	Ermak Angarsk - Granit Chekhov	5:2 ✺
10.03.24	Granit Chekhov - Ermak Angarsk	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWWL
- Yunison Moscow
RHL
26.03.24	Yunison Moscow - Ermak Angarsk	1:0 ✺
25.03.24	Yunison Moscow - Ermak Angarsk	2:1 OT ✺
13.03.24	Dinamo-576 - Yunison Moscow	0:7 ✺
10.03.24	Yunison Moscow - Dinamo-576	6:0 ✺
09.03.24	Yunison Moscow - Dinamo-576	7:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

RHL
26.03.24	Yunison Moscow - Ermak Angarsk	1:0
25.03.24	Yunison Moscow - Ermak Angarsk	2:1 OT
13.02.24	Yunison Moscow - Ermak Angarsk	5:0
12.02.24	Yunison Moscow - Ermak Angarsk	2:0
15.10.23	Ermak Angarsk - Yunison Moscow	1:5
14.10.23	Ermak Angarsk - Yunison Moscow	4:3 OT

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