Match Info

RUSSIA: NMHL - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 26 March 2024, Tuesday


	Yunison Moscow		Ermak Angarsk

	1	X	2
	1.26	6.25	7.33
	1.25	5	7.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.31)	5.63 ↓ (5.85)	7.33 ↑ (6.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yunison Moscow
71.7%

Draw
16%

Ermak Angarsk
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

15.7%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

15.5%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yunison Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Ermak Angarsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yunison Moscow than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ermak Angarsk than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
16:21, 1 - 0, Shlykov V. (G), Detkov I. (A), Gustomesov Y. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

2nd leg. Yunison Moscow (NMHL) leads series 1-0.

Yunison is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Ermak is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ermak could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Yunison is indisputable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Yunison won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Yunison won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yunison Moscow
RHL
25.03.24	Yunison Moscow - Ermak Angarsk	2:1 OT ✺
13.03.24	Dinamo-576 - Yunison Moscow	0:7 ✺
10.03.24	Yunison Moscow - Dinamo-576	6:0 ✺
09.03.24	Yunison Moscow - Dinamo-576	7:2 ✺
03.03.24	Metallurg Cherepovets - Yunison Moscow	2:1 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWWWL
- Ermak Angarsk
RHL
25.03.24	Yunison Moscow - Ermak Angarsk	2:1 OT ✺
14.03.24	Ermak Angarsk - Granit Chekhov	4:3 OT ✺
13.03.24	Ermak Angarsk - Granit Chekhov	5:2 ✺
10.03.24	Granit Chekhov - Ermak Angarsk	3:2 penalties ✺
09.03.24	Granit Chekhov - Ermak Angarsk	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

RHL
25.03.24	Yunison Moscow - Ermak Angarsk	2:1 OT
13.02.24	Yunison Moscow - Ermak Angarsk	5:0
12.02.24	Yunison Moscow - Ermak Angarsk	2:0
15.10.23	Ermak Angarsk - Yunison Moscow	1:5
14.10.23	Ermak Angarsk - Yunison Moscow	4:3 OT

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