Match Info

NMHL

Date: 12 November 2025, Wednesday


	Fakel Salekhard		Bryansk

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.7	6.64
	1.32	5.8	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↑ (1.3)	5.75 ↑ (5.7)	6.52 ↓ (6.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fakel Salekhard
70%

Draw
15.9%

Bryansk
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.2%

16%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73%

15.4%

13.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fakel Salekhard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Bryansk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fakel Salekhard than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bryansk than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Fakel Salekhard - Bryansk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
10:15, 0 - 1, Mulin A. (G), Simchenko A. (A),
15:10, 1 - 1, Zagoruy I. (G), Panfilov I. (A), Gladkov R. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
01:59, 2 - 1, Semenov S. (G), Filyakov S. (A),
05:31, 2 - 2, Cheglatonov Y. (G), Romadin D. (A), Savinov S. (A2)
06:30, 3 - 2, Semenov S. (G), Filyakov S. (A), Zashcherinsky N. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
01:35, 4 - 2, Chaplygin M. (G), Panfilov I. (A),
14:23, 4 - 3, Goncharov Y. (G), Chikin A. (A), Zhidkikh D. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fakel won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Fakel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Fakel is the clear favorite.

We predict that Fakel will win today's game, with odds of 1.3.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Fakel won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 45:23. (average 5.6:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Fakel won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:9. (average 5.5:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fakel Salekhard
RHL
11.11.25	Fakel Salekhard - Bryansk	5:0 ✺
07.11.25	Fakel Salekhard - Kaluga	2:5 ✺
06.11.25	Fakel Salekhard - Kaluga	1:6 ✺
28.10.25	Tverichi - Fakel Salekhard	2:3 ✺
27.10.25	Tverichi - Fakel Salekhard	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLWW
- HC Bryansk
RHL
11.11.25	Fakel Salekhard - Bryansk	5:0 ✺
30.10.25	Kaluga - Bryansk	3:2 ✺
29.10.25	Kaluga - Bryansk	4:1 ✺
17.10.25	Bryansk - Tverichi	3:2 OT ✺
16.10.25	Bryansk - Tverichi	7:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

RHL
11.11.25	Fakel Salekhard - Bryansk	5:0
23.03.25	Bryansk - Fakel Salekhard	4:7
22.03.25	Bryansk - Fakel Salekhard	5:1
13.10.24	Fakel Salekhard - Bryansk	5:2
12.10.24	Fakel Salekhard - Bryansk	6:3
27.01.24	Bryansk - Fakel Salekhard	2:10
26.01.24	Bryansk - Fakel Salekhard	3:5

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