Match Info

NMHL

Date: 17 December 2025, Wednesday


	Fakel Salekhard		Polyot Rybinsk

	1	X	2
	1.98	4.25	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (1.99)	4.25 ↑ (4.2)	2.8 (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fakel Salekhard
46%

Draw
21.4%

Polyot Rybinsk
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

21.7%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

21.8%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fakel Salekhard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

The chances for Polyot Rybinsk have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fakel Salekhard than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polyot Rybinsk than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Fakel Salekhard - Polyot Rybinsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
01:13, 1 - 0, Mamayev E. (G), Filyakov S. (A), Ugryumov P. (A2)
07:05, 2 - 0, Mamayev E. (G), Pichugin M. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
08:12, 2 - 1, Sultanov R. (G), Kurmanayev D. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
17:45, 2 - 2, Kosenko M. (G), Bosko A. (A),
Overtime (1 - 0)
03:21, 3 - 2, Filyakov S. (G), Mamayev E. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fakel won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Polyot may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Fakel has had a series of away games.

Recently, Polyot has had a series of home games.

Fakel will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Fakel won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 41:65. (average 2.9:4.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Fakel won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:22. (average 3.3:3.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fakel Salekhard
RHL
16.12.25	Fakel Salekhard - Polyot Rybinsk	3:4 penalties ✺
07.12.25	Tayfun Saint-Petersburg - Fakel Salekhard	2:4 ✺
06.12.25	Tayfun Saint-Petersburg - Fakel Salekhard	2:3 ✺
03.12.25	Arktika Murmansk - Fakel Salekhard	4:3 penalties ✺
02.12.25	Arktika Murmansk - Fakel Salekhard	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWWLL
- Polyot Rybinsk
RHL
16.12.25	Fakel Salekhard - Polyot Rybinsk	3:4 penalties ✺
13.12.25	Polyot Rybinsk - Bryansk	2:6 ✺
12.12.25	Polyot Rybinsk - Bryansk	5:3 ✺
09.12.25	Polyot Rybinsk - Kaluga	4:3 ✺
08.12.25	Polyot Rybinsk - Kaluga	3:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

RHL
16.12.25	Fakel Salekhard - Polyot Rybinsk	3:4 penalties
02.04.25	Polyot Rybinsk - Fakel Salekhard	3:4 OT
30.03.25	Fakel Salekhard - Polyot Rybinsk	7:5
29.03.25	Fakel Salekhard - Polyot Rybinsk	1:0 OT
09.02.25	Polyot Rybinsk - Fakel Salekhard	8:5
08.02.25	Polyot Rybinsk - Fakel Salekhard	11:1
30.03.24	Polyot Rybinsk - Fakel Salekhard	3:2 OT

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