Match Info

EUROPE: ALPS HOCKEY LEAGUE - LOSERS STAGE - ROUND 2

Date: 20 January 2024, Saturday


	Fassa		Kitzbühel

	1	X	2
	3	3.9	1.91
	2.9	4	1.91
	3.18	4.09	2.01
	3	3.8	1.91
	2.9	4.25	1.97
	2.9	4.2	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↓ (3.06)	4.04 ↑ (4.04)	1.94 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fassa
30.5%

Draw
22.5%

Kitzbühel
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

22.8%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

23.6%

45.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fassa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Kitzbühel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fassa than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kitzbühel than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Fassa - Kitzbühel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fassa won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Kitzbühel will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Fassa won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 68-78.

Including matches at home between the teams Fassa won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 46-33.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportiva Hockey Club Fassa
Alps Hockey League
18.01.24	KAC II - Fassa	2:3 penalties ✺
05.01.24	Fassa - Red Bull Salzburg 2	3:7 ✺
03.01.24	Steel Wings Linz - Fassa	3:5 ✺
30.12.23	Kitzbühel - Fassa	6:0 ✺
28.12.23	Fassa - Zell am See	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWLL
- EC Kitzbühel
Alps Hockey League
18.01.24	Unterland Cavaliers - Kitzbühel	4:1 ✺
05.01.24	Kitzbühel - Acroni Jesenice	2:1 ✺
03.01.24	Celje - Kitzbühel	2:3 ✺
30.12.23	Kitzbühel - Fassa	6:0 ✺
28.12.23	Vipiteno - Kitzbühel	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
30.12.23	Kitzbühel - Fassa	6:0
25.11.23	Fassa - Kitzbühel	7:3
02.03.23	Fassa - Kitzbühel	1:3
28.02.23	Kitzbühel - Fassa	4:2
26.11.22	Fassa - Kitzbühel	3:6
24.09.22	Kitzbühel - Fassa	6:3
20.12.21	Kitzbühel - Fassa	3:7

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