Match Info

EUROPE: ALPS HOCKEY LEAGUE - LOSERS STAGE - ROUND 9

Date: 22 February 2024, Thursday


	Fassa		Unterland Cavaliers

	1	X	2
	3.7	5	1.57
	4	4.95	1.51
	4.09	4.8	1.47
	4.69	6.04	1.48
	5.08	5.35	1.42
	4.8	5.2	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.39 ↑ (3.47)	5.22 ↑ (4.68)	1.48 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fassa
20.8%

Draw
17.5%

Unterland Cavaliers
61.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

19.5%

54.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

19.9%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fassa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fassa's form might have worsened.

Unterland Cavaliers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Unterland Cavaliers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fassa than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fassa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unterland Cavaliers than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Unterland Cavaliers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Fassa - Unterland Cavaliers Predictions

Users Predictions: Unterland Cavaliers will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Preview

Fassa is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Unterland is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Unterland is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fassa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Fassa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportiva Hockey Club Fassa
Alps Hockey League
17.02.24	Kitzbühel - Fassa	5:2 ✺
03.02.24	Fassa - EHC Lustenau	6:7 ✺
27.01.24	Unterland Cavaliers - Fassa	7:5 ✺
25.01.24	Fassa - KAC II	5:2 ✺
20.01.24	Fassa - Kitzbühel	4:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLWL
- Unterland Cavaliers
Alps Hockey League
15.02.24	Unterland Cavaliers - EHC Lustenau	5:4 ✺
01.02.24	KAC II - Unterland Cavaliers	7:1 ✺
27.01.24	Unterland Cavaliers - Fassa	7:5 ✺
25.01.24	Kitzbühel - Unterland Cavaliers	4:3 penalties ✺
20.01.24	EHC Lustenau - Unterland Cavaliers	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
27.01.24	Unterland Cavaliers - Fassa	7:5
02.12.23	Unterland Cavaliers - Fassa	4:1
04.11.23	Fassa - Unterland Cavaliers	4:3 OT
22.12.22	Fassa - Unterland Cavaliers	6:3
26.10.22	Unterland Cavaliers - Fassa	3:2 penalties

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