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Current Win Probability
Ferencvárosi 44.7%
Draw 22%
Fehérvár AV 19 33.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.5%
21.5%
39%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.8%
21.7%
38.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferencvárosi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferencvárosi's performance.
Fehérvár AV 19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fehérvár AV 19 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fehérvár AV 19 than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fehérvár AV 19 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ferencvárosi - Fehérvár AV 19 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Nagy K. (G)
35. Horvath D. (G)
7. Lindgren J.
59. Messner J.
52. Bengtsson R.
5. Stipsicz B.
9. Green G.
92. Kuralt A.
21. Coulter T.
10. Bartalis I.
12. Shaw B.
36. Erdely C.
Line 2
55. Green L.
7. Stajnoch M.
56. Hudec M.
21. Falus A.
92. Tammela J.
43. Gerlach M.
14. Molnar D.
16. Hari J.
94. Galajda Z.
90. Archibald D.
Line 3
22. Horvath M.
67. Horvath D.
27. Seregely M.
40. Nagy D.
19. Ytterell A.
39. Cheek T.
13. Nagy K.
18. Richards J.
17. Mihalik A.
26. Kulmala R.
Line 4
61. Toth R.
93. Mihaly A.
18. Mattyasovszky G.
34. Terbocs I.
77. Toth G.
13. Nemeth K.
82. Magosi B.
Substitutes
1. Balizs B. (G)
45. Reijola R. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 2)
01:23, 1 - 0, Tammela J. (G), Horvath M. (A), Molnar D. (A2)
09:33, 1 - 1, Erdely C. (G), Messner J. (A), Stipsicz B. (A2)
16:33, 1 - 2, Bartalis I. (G), Hari J. (A), Kuralt A. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 2)
00:12, 2 - 2, Shaw B. (G), Lindgren J. (A),
01:00, 2 - 3, Gerlach M. (G), Hari J. (A), Archibald D. (A2)
05:00, 2 - 4, Archibald D. (G), Hari J. (A), Gerlach M. (A2)
08:15, 3 - 4, Green G. (G), Shaw B. (A), Hudec M. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
02:56, 3 - 5, Terbocs I. (G), Stipsicz B. (A), Nemeth K. (A2)
10:33, 3 - 6, Gerlach M. (G), Nemeth K. (A),
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 11 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ ICE Hockey League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals))
Ferencvárosi is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Fehérvár has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Ferencvárosi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferencvárosi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:22. (average 2:4.4).
Including home match between the teams, Ferencvárosi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:6.