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Current Win Probability
Florida Panthers 46.9%
Draw 22.5%
Toronto Maple Leafs 30.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.5%
22.2%
31.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.9%
27.1%
25.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Florida Panthers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Florida Panthers than the current prediction. (+10%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Florida Panthers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toronto Maple Leafs, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
25%
50%
Florida Panthers - Toronto Maple Leafs Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Florida will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Toronto will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Toronto: 15.4% – 84.6%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Toronto (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Florida (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Toronto (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
72. Bobrovsky S. (G)
60. Woll J. (G)
5. Ekblad A. (A)
25. Carlo B.
42. Forsling G.
44. Rielly M. (A)
13. Reinhart S.
11. Domi M.
17. Rodrigues E.
34. Matthews A. (C)
23. Verhaeghe C.
74. McMann B.
Line 2
26. Balinskis U. (A)
95. Ekman-Larsson O.
77. Mikkola N.
22. McCabe J.
19. Tkachuk M. (A)
88. Nylander W.
9. Bennett S.
91. Tavares J. (A)
11. Samoskevich M.
63. Maccelli M.
Line 3
2. Petry J.
28. Stecher T.
6. Sebrango D.
2. Benoit S.
63. Marchand B.
89. Robertson N.
15. Lundell A.
55. Roy N.
27. Luostarinen E.
23. Knies M.
Line 4
95. Vilmanis S.
19. Jarnkrok C.
79. Schwindt C.
24. Laughton S.
10. Greer A.J.
18. Lorentz S.
Substitutes
40. Tarasov D. (G)
41. Stolarz A. (G)
Coaches
. Maurice P.
. Berube C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (3 - 0)
03:18, 1 - 0, Marchand B. (G), Lundell A. (A),
03:37, Roy N. (2 min),
05:13, 2 - 0, Verhaeghe C. (G), Rodrigues E. (A), Lundell A. (A2)
15:43, Ekblad A. (2 min),
16:40, 3 - 0, Rodrigues E. (G),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
05:30, McCabe J. (2 min),
11:09, Samoskevich M. (2 min),
18:49, Benoit S. (2 min),
18:49, Ekblad A. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
00:47, 3 - 1, Tavares J. (G), Matthews A. (A), Ekman-Larsson O. (A2)
10:01, Maccelli M. (2 min),
16:51, 4 - 1, Marchand B. (G),
18:08, 5 - 1, Tkachuk M. (G),
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 13 and 12)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Florida won 2.
Florida has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Toronto has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Florida may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Toronto has had a series of away games.
Florida might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Florida: Barkov A.
(Knee Injury)
Gadjovich J.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Jones S.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Kulikov D.
(Wrist Injury)
Nosek T.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Toronto: Tanev C.
(Groin Injury)
There are questionable in Florida: Bjornfot T.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Toronto: Joshua D.
(Upper-Body Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Florida won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 62:48. (average 3.1:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Florida won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:19. (average 2.8:1.9).
Outrights of NHL for now
Florida Panthers: 9.47% Toronto Maple Leafs: 2.45%
Last Results with these Odds
Toronto Maple Leafs - the odds 3.02 are the expected chance of winning is 31.27%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.