The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tampa Bay Lightning 54.7%
Draw 21.2%
Toronto Maple Leafs 24%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50.8%
22.1%
27.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.3%
22.3%
27.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
63.6%
27.3%
9.1%
Tampa Bay Lightning - Toronto Maple Leafs Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Tampa Bay will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Toronto will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Tampa Bay: 35.2% โ 92%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
88. Vasilevski A. (G)
41. Stolarz A. (G)
43. Raddysh D.
25. Carlo B.
90. Moser J.J.
44. Rielly M.
86. Kucherov N. (A)
11. Domi M.
21. Point B.
34. Matthews A. (C)
93. Goncalves G.
74. McMann B.
Line 2
77. Hedman V. (C)
95. Ekman-Larsson O.
51. D'Astous C.
22. McCabe J.
59. Guentzel J.
88. Nylander W. (A)
17. James D.
91. Tavares J. (A)
38. Hagel B.
63. Maccelli M.
Line 3
81. Cernak E.
28. Stecher T.
27. McDonagh R. (A)
2. Benoit S.
29. Holmberg P.
89. Robertson N.
37. Gourde Y.
55. Roy N.
28. Girgensons Z.
23. Knies M.
Line 4
78. Lilleberg E.
19. Jarnkrok C.
22. Bjorkstrand O.
24. Laughton S.
46. Sabourin S.
18. Lorentz S.
Substitutes
31. Johansson J. (G)
60. Woll J. (G)
Coaches
. Cooper J.
. Berube C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
14:06, Benoit S. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
00:48, Cernak E. (2 min),
07:07, 1 - 0, Point B. (G), D'Astous C. (A), Holmberg P. (A2)
07:58, 2 - 0, Goncalves G. (G), Kucherov N. (A), D'Astous C. (A2)
07:58, Ekman-Larsson O. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 2)
02:59, 3 - 0, Kucherov N. (G), Goncalves G. (A), Point B. (A2)
05:24, Matthews A. (2 min),
09:43, Benoit S. (2 min),
14:54, McDonagh R. (2 min),
16:19, 3 - 1, Tavares J. (G), Nylander W. (A), Knies M. (A2)
16:30, 4 - 1, Point B. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Goncalves G. (A2)
17:13, 4 - 2, Knies M. (G), Nylander W. (A), Matthews A. (A2)
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 0.
Tampa Bay has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Toronto's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of home games.
Recently, Toronto has had a series of away games.
In this match, Tampa Bay is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Tampa Bay: Crozier M.
(Muscle Injury)
Lilleberg E.
(Injury)
Paul N.
(Injury)
There will not play in Toronto: Tanev C.
(Groin Injury)
There are questionable in Tampa Bay: Cirelli A.
(Shoulder Injury)
Hedman V.
(Lower-Body Injury)
There are questionable in Toronto: Joshua D.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Tavares J.
(Illness)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 64:74. (average 3.2:3.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 34:38. (average 3.4:3.8).
Outrights of NHL for now
Tampa Bay Lightning: 6.97% Toronto Maple Leafs: 2.22%
Last Results with these Odds
Tampa Bay Lightning - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 50.76%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
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Vasilevski A. (G) 
Stolarz A. (G) 
Raddysh D. 
Moser J.J. 
Hedman V. (C) 
Maccelli M. 
Cernak E. 
Girgensons Z. 
Lilleberg E. 
Bjorkstrand O. 
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