Match Info

NHL

Date: 29 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Climate Pledge Arena (Seattle, WA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay, V Sport Live 1
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Live 1
Germany	NHL.tv
Iceland	Viaplay
Italy	DAZN Italia
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Live 1
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Seattle Kraken		Toronto Maple Leafs

	1	X	2
	2.35	4.2	2.5	Watch
	2.42	4.24	2.47
	2.48	4.25	2.42
	2.41	4.32	2.46	Watch
	2.5	4.33	2.38
	2.52	4.32	2.49
	2.45	4.25	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.7)	4.27 ↑ (4.1)	2.45 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Seattle Kraken
38.9%

Draw
22.3%

Toronto Maple Leafs
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

23%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

25.8%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Seattle Kraken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seattle Kraken than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Seattle Kraken that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toronto Maple Leafs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	36.4%	18.2%

Seattle Kraken - Toronto Maple Leafs Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Seattle will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Toronto will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Seattle: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Seattle (1.95) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Seattle Kraken will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Seattle (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Lineups

Line 1
35. Daccord J. (G)	41. Stolarz A. (G)
6. Larsson A. (A)	95. Ekman-Larsson O.
29. Dunn V.	22. McCabe J.
7. Eberle J. (C)	11. Domi M.
10. Beniers M. (A)	34. Matthews A. (C)
19. McCann J.	74. McMann B.
Line 2
62. Montour B.	25. Carlo B.
24. Oleksiak J.	44. Rielly M. (A)
20. Tolvanen E.	23. Knies M.
9. Stephenson C.	91. Tavares J. (A)
27. Catton B.	63. Maccelli M.
Line 3
41. Evans R.	28. Stecher T.
55. Lindgren R.	2. Benoit S.
84. Kakko K.	19. Jarnkrok C.
51. Wright S.	55. Roy N.
17. Schwartz J.	89. Robertson N.
Line 4
63. Melanson J.	53. Cowan E.
89. Gaudreau F.	24. Laughton S.
26. Winterton R.	18. Lorentz S.
Substitutes
31. Grubauer P. (G)	60. Woll J. (G)
Coaches
. Lambert L.	. Berube C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
01:21, 1 - 0, Beniers M. (G), McCann J. (A), Eberle J. (A2)
06:35, Larsson A. (2 min),
15:02, 1 - 1, Robertson N. (G),
18:57, Stecher T. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
06:23, 2 - 1, Wright S. (G), Schwartz J. (A), Larsson A. (A2)
06:54, 3 - 1, Montour B. (G), Gaudreau F. (A),
17:11, Dunn V. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
04:57, Wright S. (2 min),
06:04, 3 - 2, Rielly M. (G), Domi M. (A),
08:32, 4 - 2, Wright S. (G), Montour B. (A),
09:37, Carlo B. (2 min),
17:23, 5 - 2, McCann J. (G),

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Seattle won 1.

Seattle has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Toronto is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Seattle: Meyers B. (Lower-Body Injury) Murray M. (Lower-Body Injury)

There will not play in Toronto: Joshua D. (Upper-Body Injury) Nylander W. (Groin Injury) Tanev C. (Lower-Body Injury)

We predict that Seattle will win today's game, with odds of 2.43.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Seattle won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:35. (average 2.4:3.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Seattle won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:17. (average 1.3:4.3).

Outrights of NHL for now

Toronto Maple Leafs: 2.45% Seattle Kraken: 0.3%

Last Results with these Odds

Seattle Kraken - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.98%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Toronto Maple Leafs - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.98%, but this team recently wins 32% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Seattle Kraken
NHL
27.01.26	Seattle Kraken - Washington Capitals	5:1 ✺
25.01.26	Seattle Kraken - New Jersey Devils	4:2 ✺
23.01.26	Seattle Kraken - Anaheim Ducks	2:4 ✺
21.01.26	Seattle Kraken - New York Islanders	4:1 ✺
19.01.26	Seattle Kraken - Pittsburgh Penguins	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWLWL
- Toronto Maple Leafs
NHL
27.01.26	Toronto Maple Leafs - Buffalo Sabres	4:7 ✺
25.01.26	Toronto Maple Leafs - Colorado Avalanche	1:4 ✺
23.01.26	Toronto Maple Leafs - Vegas Golden Knights	3:6 ✺
21.01.26	Toronto Maple Leafs - Detroit Red Wings	1:2 OT ✺
19.01.26	Toronto Maple Leafs - Minnesota Wild	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

NHL
18.10.25	Toronto Maple Leafs - Seattle Kraken	3:4 OT
06.02.25	Seattle Kraken - Toronto Maple Leafs	1:3
31.10.24	Toronto Maple Leafs - Seattle Kraken	4:1
21.01.24	Seattle Kraken - Toronto Maple Leafs	1:3
30.11.23	Toronto Maple Leafs - Seattle Kraken	4:3 penalties
26.02.23	Seattle Kraken - Toronto Maple Leafs	1:5
05.01.23	Toronto Maple Leafs - Seattle Kraken	1:5

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