The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Seattle Kraken 34.5%
Draw 22.1%
Toronto Maple Leafs 43.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.7%
23.4%
37.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40%
24.2%
35.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Seattle Kraken has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
Toronto Maple Leafs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toronto Maple Leafs's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seattle Kraken than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Seattle Kraken, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toronto Maple Leafs, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
50%
25%
Seattle Kraken - Toronto Maple Leafs Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Seattle will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Toronto will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Line 1
31. Grubauer P. (G)
72. Bobrovsky S. (G)
6. Larsson A.
43. Raddysh D.
29. Dunn V.
22. McCabe J.
7. Eberle J. (C)
96. Roslovic J.
10. Beniers M. (A)
34. Matthews A. (C)
74. McMann B.
92. McKenna G.
Line 2
62. Montour B. (A)
28. Stecher T.
41. Evans R.
44. Rielly M. (A)
11. Samoskevich M.
88. Nylander W.
9. Stephenson C.
20. Paul N.
38. Nyman J.
53. Cowan E.
Line 3
8. Fleury C.
95. Ekman-Larsson O.
28. Mahura J.
36. Mermis D.
51. Wright S.
71. Lettieri V.
27. Catton B.
15. Sissons C.
84. Kakko K.
29. Groulx B.
Line 4
26. Winterton R.
19. MacEwen Z.
89. Gaudreau F.
73. Blueger T.
59. Meyers B.
24. Duhaime B.
Substitutes
35. Daccord J. (G)
41. Stolarz A. (G)
Coaches
. Lambert L.
. Hiller J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
01:59, 1 - 0, Catton B. (G), Samoskevich M. (A),
17:36, Catton B. (2 min),
19:14, 1 - 1, McKenna G. (G), Matthews A. (A), Raddysh D. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 1)
00:16, 2 - 1, Mahura J. (G), Meyers B. (A), Gaudreau F. (A2)
01:19, Evans R. (2 min),
01:46, 2 - 2, McKenna G. (G), Matthews A. (A), Roslovic J. (A2)
02:18, Lettieri V. (2 min),
03:33, 3 - 2, Stephenson C. (G), Dunn V. (A), Beniers M. (A2)
04:49, Cowan E. (2 min),
07:43, McKenna G. (2 min),
10:58, 4 - 2, Evans R. (G), Samoskevich M. (A), Stephenson C. (A2)
12:37, Fleury C. (5 min),
12:37, Lettieri V. (5 min),
15:45, MacEwen Z. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
06:03, Mermis D. (2 min),
06:24, Eberle J. (2 min),
08:02, 4 - 3, Roslovic J. (G), Cowan E. (A), Stecher T. (A2)
18:30, 4 - 4, Matthews A. (G), Raddysh D. (A), McKenna G. (A2)
19:26, 5 - 4, Montour B. (G), Eberle J. (A), McMann B. (A2)
Preview
A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6th in the Promotion - NHL Playoffs and 7th in the Promotion - NHL Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Seattle won 2.
Seattle has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Toronto is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Toronto may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for Seattle: Lindgren R.
(Upper-Body Injury)
McCann J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Melanson J.
(Chest Injury).
Confirmed absences for Toronto: Blankenburg N.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Domi M.
(Back Injury)
Merzlikins E.
(Shoulder Injury)
Rifai M.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Tanev C.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Tavares J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Wood M.
(Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Toronto: Marchenko K.
(Lower-Body Injury).
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Seattle has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:37 (averaging 2.7:3.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Seattle against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 10:19 goals (averaging 2:3.8 per game).
Argentina
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Denmark
Finland
Germany
Mexico
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Sweden
United Kingdom
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Usa
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International
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Grubauer P. (G) 
Bobrovsky S. (G) 
Larsson A. 
Raddysh D. 
McCabe J. 
Nyman J. 
Blueger T. 
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