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Calgary Flames vs Toronto Maple Leafs Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Monday, February 02, 2026)

Match Info

NHL

Date: 2 February 2026, Monday

Location: Scotiabank Saddledome (Calgary, AB)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
Germany	NHL.tv, Sky Sport Mix
Iceland	Viaplay
Italy	DAZN Italia
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	DAZN, Premier Sports 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Calgary Flames		Toronto Maple Leafs

	1	X	2
	2.7	4.2	2.2	Watch
	2.59	4.09	2.37
	2.6	4.23	2.33
	2.55	4.29	2.34	Watch
	2.63	4	2.38
	2.56	4.31	2.36
	2.6	4	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (2.92)	4.16 ↓ (4.17)	2.33 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Calgary Flames
36.5%

Draw
22.8%

Toronto Maple Leafs
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

23%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

22.6%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Calgary Flames has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calgary Flames than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Calgary will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Toronto will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Toronto: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Calgary (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Toronto (votes: 5 - 31.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Lineups

Line 1
32. Wolf D. (G)	60. Woll J. (G)
52. Weegar M. (A)	25. Carlo B.
37. Kuznetsov Y.	22. McCabe J.
27. Coronato M.	11. Domi M.
11. Backlund M. (C)	34. Matthews A. (C)
17. Sharangovich Y.	74. McMann B.
Line 2
28. Whitecloud Z.	28. Stecher T.
7. Bahl K.	95. Ekman-Larsson O.
86. Farabee J.	88. Nylander W.
91. Kadri N.	91. Tavares J. (A)
47. Zary C.	63. Maccelli M.
Line 3
89. Parekh Z.	51. Myers P.
44. Hanley J.	2. Benoit S.
92. Gridin M.	89. Robertson N.
16. Frost M.	55. Roy N.
10. Huberdeau J. (A)	23. Knies M.
Line 4
43. Klapka A.	19. Jarnkrok C.
76. Pospisil M.	24. Laughton S.
70. Lomberg R.	18. Lorentz S.
Substitutes
1. Cooley D. (G)	41. Stolarz A. (G)
Coaches
. Huska R.	. Berube C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
00:35, 0 - 1, Nylander W. (G), Tavares J. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 2)
07:17, 0 - 2, Maccelli M. (G), Nylander W. (A),
08:11, Carlo B. (2 min),
08:11, Backlund M. (2 min),
09:10, 0 - 3, Stecher T. (G), Nylander W. (A), Matthews A. (A2)
13:15, 1 - 3, Kadri N. (G), Farabee J. (A), Hanley J. (A2)
15:46, 2 - 3, Farabee J. (G), Kadri N. (A), Weegar M. (A2)
17:46, Knies M. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
19:35, 2 - 4, McMann B. (G), Laughton S. (A), Carlo B. (A2)

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Calgary won 0.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Toronto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Calgary has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Calgary: Bean J. (Injury) Beecher J. (Upper-Body Injury) Coleman B. (Upper-Body Injury) Honzek S. (Upper-Body Injury)

There will not play in Toronto: Joshua D. (Upper-Body Injury) Tanev C. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Toronto: Rielly M. (Upper-Body Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Calgary won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 53:64. (average 2.7:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Calgary won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:32. (average 2.9:3.6).

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Last Results with these Odds

Calgary Flames - the odds 2.92 are the expected chance of winning is 32.82%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calgary Flames
NHL
31.01.26	Calgary Flames - San Jose Sharks	3:2 ✺
29.01.26	Minnesota Wild - Calgary Flames	4:1 ✺
25.01.26	Calgary Flames - Anaheim Ducks	3:4 OT ✺
23.01.26	Calgary Flames - Washington Capitals	1:3 ✺
21.01.26	Calgary Flames - Pittsburgh Penguins	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLL
- Toronto Maple Leafs
NHL
31.01.26	Vancouver Canucks - Toronto Maple Leafs	2:3 penalties ✺
29.01.26	Seattle Kraken - Toronto Maple Leafs	5:2 ✺
27.01.26	Toronto Maple Leafs - Buffalo Sabres	4:7 ✺
25.01.26	Toronto Maple Leafs - Colorado Avalanche	1:4 ✺
23.01.26	Toronto Maple Leafs - Vegas Golden Knights	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

NHL
28.10.25	Toronto Maple Leafs - Calgary Flames	4:3
17.03.25	Toronto Maple Leafs - Calgary Flames	6:2
04.02.25	Calgary Flames - Toronto Maple Leafs	3:6
18.01.24	Calgary Flames - Toronto Maple Leafs	3:4
10.11.23	Toronto Maple Leafs - Calgary Flames	5:4 penalties
02.03.23	Calgary Flames - Toronto Maple Leafs	1:2
10.12.22	Toronto Maple Leafs - Calgary Flames	5:4 OT

Calgary Flames - Toronto Maple Leafs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide