Match Info

FINLAND: Mestis

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Lappi Areena (Rovaniemi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+


	RoKi		Hokki

	1	X	2
	1.64	4.4	4.15
	1.59	4.6	3.74
	1.55	5.05	4.45	Watch
	1.6	4	3.9
	1.63	4.45	4.22	Watch
	1.64	4.4	4.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.74)	4.48 ↑ (4.21)	4.1 ↑ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RoKi
57.1%

Draw
20.5%

Hokki
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

21.7%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

21.5%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RoKi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Hokki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RoKi than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hokki than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

RoKi - Hokki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
40. Huunonen R. (G)	71. Salonen D. (G)
14. Virtanen A.	8. Mykkanen J.
2. Manninen J.	28. Andzans A.
71. Boucher E.	87. Karasa A.
62. Izyk L.	19. Homjakovs A.
21. Alanko T.	63. Jokinen J.
Line 2
11. Pakaslahti A.	38. Ilvessuo J.
28. Virtanen E.	6. Bilgili S.
5. Sikorski A.	15. Pellikka A.
91. Poikola A.	12. Ohtonen J.
39. Niemi E.	22. Juhola J.
Line 3
78. Haataja V.	11. Koskenkorva S.
24. Nicholson R.	4. Heiskanen T.
86. Turppa T.	27. Aaltonen J.
19. Orn T.	16. Alitalo V.
44. Hahl V.	14. Heinanen K.
Line 4
42. Wolin A.	77. Nissinen T.
72. Vierimaa W.	29. Kaski T.
23. Heinonen J.	91. Tuomainen N.
82. Korsumaki A.	23. Kuivas A.
Substitutes
35. Saarinen K. (G)	1. Marttinen M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
11:01, 1 - 0, Heinonen J. (G), Pakaslahti A. (A), Korsumaki A. (A2)
12:52, 1 - 1, Heiskanen T. (G), Heinanen K. (A), Ohtonen J. (A2)
16:16, 1 - 2, Jokinen J. (G), Karasa A. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
18:19, 2 - 2, Boucher E. (G), Alanko T. (A), Izyk L. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
00:31, 3 - 2, Boucher E. (G), Izyk L. (A), Alanko T. (A2)
05:29, 4 - 2, Izyk L. (G), Virtanen E. (A), Pakaslahti A. (A2)

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches RoKi won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Hokki could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match RoKi is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches RoKi won 13 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 70:62 (average 3.5:3.1).

Including matches at home between the teams RoKi won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 35:29 (average 3.5:2.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rovaniemen Kiekko
Finnish Mestis
01.02.25	TuTo - RoKi	5:1 ✺
31.01.25	TuTo - RoKi	4:1 ✺
30.01.25	KeuPa - RoKi	0:2 ✺
25.01.25	RoKi - KeuPa	5:2 ✺
24.01.25	RoKi - Jokerit	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWWL
- Hokki
Finnish Mestis
07.02.25	Hokki - KeuPa	3:2 ✺
05.02.25	IPK - Hokki	1:2 ✺
01.02.25	Kiekko-Vantaa - Hokki	5:1 ✺
31.01.25	Jokerit - Hokki	5:0 ✺
25.01.25	Hokki - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Mestis
29.12.24	Hokki - RoKi	4:5
28.12.24	RoKi - Hokki	5:3
05.12.24	RoKi - Hokki	0:3
11.10.24	Hokki - RoKi	1:4
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
14.08.24	Hokki - RoKi	3:1
Finnish Mestis
01.03.24	RoKi - Hokki	6:5 OT
13.01.24	Hokki - RoKi	3:4

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