Match Info

SHL

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Scandinavium (Göteborg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Sweden	TV4 Play


	Frölunda		Rögle

	1	X	2
	2.1	4.2	3.1
	2.18	3.85	2.95	Watch
	2.22	3.69	2.87
	2.2	3.79	2.9	Watch
	2.1	3.8	2.8
	2.19	3.94	2.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (1.89)	3.88 ↓ (4.25)	2.91 ↓ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Frölunda
43.4%

Draw
24.2%

Rögle
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

22%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

22.5%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frölunda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Frölunda's form might have worsened.

Rögle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frölunda than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rögle than the current prediction. (-3%)

Frölunda - Rögle Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

#ad

Lineups

Line 1
1. Johansson L. (G)	65. Rifalk C. (G)
8. Johannesson S.	95. Friedman M.
7. Tommernes H.	16. Ekestahl-Jonsson L.
12. Friberg M. (C)	52. Nilsson F.
40. Peterson J.	22. Olofsson F.
9. Weissbach L.	62. Horky L.
Line 2
46. Egli D.	58. Johansson F.
33. Hogberg L.	44. de Haan C.
41. Stenberg I.	67. Bristedt L. (A)
27. Niederbach T.	23. Dickinson J.
11. Lindholm M.	83. Kuhlman K.
Line 3
2. Folin Ch. (A)	6. LaDue P.
26. Heens I.	51. Sjalin C.
92. Cederqvist F.	18. Everberg D. (A)
25. Ruotsalainen A.	28. Bengtsson A. (C)
21. Innala J.	72. Zaar D.
Line 4
6. Hasa F.	45. Biber G.
32. Hasa N.	8. Sandin L.
31. Lasu N. (A)	37. Sundsvik A.
44. Dower Nilsson N.	32. Solberg I.
Substitutes
17. Born I.	75. Holm A. (G)
30. Normann T. (G)	41. Zether S.
Coaches
. Ohlsson R.	. Tangnes D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
12:01, 1 - 0, Tommernes H. (G), Friberg M. (A), Peterson J. (A2)
12:52, 1 - 1, LaDue P. (G), Sjalin C. (A), Nilsson F. (A2)
20:00, Peterson J. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
09:25, Hasa F. (2 min),
14:34, Bristedt L. (2 min),
18:19, Ekestahl-Jonsson L. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
02:31, 2 - 1, Lasu N. (G), Dower Nilsson N. (A), Heens I. (A2)
03:15, Hogberg L. (2 min),
08:41, 2 - 2, Nilsson F. (G), Ekestahl-Jonsson L. (A), Horky L. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
00:15, 2 - 3, Nilsson F. (G), Olofsson F. (A),

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Frölunda is Qualified for SHL (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Frölunda won 2.

Frölunda has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rögle is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Rögle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Frölunda could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Frölunda won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 62:49. (average 3.1:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Frölunda won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:14. (average 3.1:1.6).

Outrights of SHL for now

Frolunda: 13.65% Rogle: 10.24%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Frolunda	8	5	1	0	2	26:20	17
6	Rogle	8	3	1	0	4	20:18	11

Last Results with these Odds

Frölunda - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 49.44%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Rögle - the odds 3.27 are the expected chance of winning is 28.57%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Frölunda HC
Champions League Ice Hockey
03.03.26	Frölunda - Luleå	3:2 OT ✺
SHL
28.02.26	Brynäs - Frölunda	3:0 ✺
26.02.26	Frölunda - Skellefteå	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	HV71 - Frölunda	1:5 ✺
19.02.26	Örebro - Frölunda	5:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLWL
- Rögle BK
SHL
28.02.26	Rögle - Örebro	2:3 OT ✺
26.02.26	Brynäs - Rögle	2:1 penalties ✺
21.02.26	Linköping - Rögle	3:4 penalties ✺
19.02.26	Rögle - HV71	3:4 penalties ✺
07.02.26	Rögle - Växjö Lakers	3:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

SHL
26.12.25	Rögle - Frölunda	2:5
28.10.25	Rögle - Frölunda	2:0
11.10.25	Frölunda - Rögle	4:1
04.03.25	Frölunda - Rögle	0:3
16.01.25	Rögle - Frölunda	2:1
23.11.24	Frölunda - Rögle	1:0
24.09.24	Rögle - Frölunda	4:3

Upcoming Matches