Match Info

EUROPE: ALPS HOCKEY LEAGUE

Date: 1 November 2023, Wednesday


	Gherdëina		Fassa

	1	X	2
	2.25	4	2.4
	2.32	4	2.32
	2.25	3.62	2.24
	2.3	3.7	2.3
	2.33	4.2	2.33
	2.33	4.2	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (1.9)	3.95 ↓ (4.18)	2.32 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gherdëina
38.9%

Draw
22.6%

Fassa
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

21.5%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

19.5%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gherdëina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gherdëina's form might have worsened.

Fassa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fassa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gherdëina than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gherdëina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fassa than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fassa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Gherdëina - Fassa Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Fassa will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gherdëina won 2.

Recent matches Gherdëina is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fassa has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Fassa will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 35 head-to-head matches Gherdëina won 22 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 112-96.

Including matches at home between the teams Gherdëina won 12 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 64-45.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Gherdëina
Alps Hockey League
28.10.23	Red Bull Salzburg 2 - Gherdëina	4:2 ✺
26.10.23	Gherdëina - EHC Lustenau	3:5 ✺
21.10.23	Gherdëina - Ritten-Renon	2:8 ✺
19.10.23	Merano Junior - Gherdëina	1:6 ✺
15.10.23	Fassa - Gherdëina	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLLWW
- Sportiva Hockey Club Fassa
Alps Hockey League
28.10.23	Fassa - Ritten-Renon	1:4 ✺
26.10.23	Vipiteno - Fassa	3:2 ✺
21.10.23	Cortina - Fassa	3:2 ✺
19.10.23	Celje - Fassa	7:2 ✺
15.10.23	Fassa - Gherdëina	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
15.10.23	Fassa - Gherdëina	3:4
23.02.23	Gherdëina - Fassa	1:2 OT
19.01.23	Fassa - Gherdëina	3:1
04.12.22	Fassa - Gherdëina	3:1
01.10.22	Gherdëina - Fassa	5:2
28.12.21	Fassa - Gherdëina	4:0
23.10.21	Gherdëina - Fassa	7:5

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