Match Info

EUROPE: ALPS HOCKEY LEAGUE

Date: 26 October 2023, Thursday


	Gherdëina		EHC Lustenau

	1	X	2
	1.84	4.35	2.9
	1.74	4.4	3.05
	1.75	4.15	2.89
	1.86	4.45	3
	1.87	4.4	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.28)	4.35 ↑ (4.02)	2.96 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gherdëina
49.3%

Draw
20.5%

EHC Lustenau
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

22.1%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

18.1%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gherdëina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gherdëina's performance.

EHC Lustenau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and EHC Lustenau might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gherdëina than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EHC Lustenau than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Gherdëina - EHC Lustenau Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Gherdëina will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Lustenau will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gherdëina won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently Lustenau have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 22 head-to-head matches Gherdëina won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 60-77.

Including matches at home between the teams Gherdëina won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 28-42.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Gherdëina
Alps Hockey League
21.10.23	Gherdëina - Ritten-Renon	2:8 ✺
19.10.23	Merano Junior - Gherdëina	1:6 ✺
15.10.23	Fassa - Gherdëina	3:4 ✺
12.10.23	Gherdëina - Cortina	0:2 ✺
07.10.23	Gherdëina - Red Bull Salzburg 2	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWLL
- EHC Lustenau
Alps Hockey League
21.10.23	Red Bull Salzburg 2 - EHC Lustenau	4:2 ✺
19.10.23	Vipiteno - EHC Lustenau	8:2 ✺
14.10.23	EHC Lustenau - Merano Junior	7:10 ✺
12.10.23	Kitzbühel - EHC Lustenau	4:5 OT ✺
07.10.23	Ritten-Renon - EHC Lustenau	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
20.12.22	EHC Lustenau - Gherdëina	3:1
15.10.22	Gherdëina - EHC Lustenau	2:4
11.09.21	EHC Lustenau - Gherdëina	5:0
25.02.21	EHC Lustenau - Gherdëina	5:6
09.01.21	Gherdëina - EHC Lustenau	3:4
02.03.20	Gherdëina - EHC Lustenau	3:4
11.02.20	EHC Lustenau - Gherdëina	2:3

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