The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gomel 37.6%
Draw 23.4%
Slavutych Smolensk 39%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37.7%
23.5%
38.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40%
24.9%
35.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gomel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Slavutych Smolensk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gomel than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slavutych Smolensk than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Gomel - Slavutych Smolensk Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
98. Lubsky M. (G)
35. Sinyagin D. (G)
4. Gostev A.
95. Antonov D.
11. Khoromando M.
97. Tatarnikov K.
9. Sapelnikov Y.
73. Mamonov F.
13. Sobhy N.
19. Yerkin D.
95. Kunishnikov M.
87. Ivanov A.
Line 2
59. Ivanchikov D.
96. Sushinsky I.
72. Kudin Y.
98. Muzhikov D.
71. Titov N.
88. Polkin M.
46. Kachelovsky O.
51. Kurkov D.
17. Kolyshkin D.
55. Yegorov A.
Line 3
22. Arkhiptsev A.
9. Antonovsky I.
89. Lipsky D.
92. Shapenkov K.
10. Sekerin I.
85. Avramenko M.
28. Gaidamak V.
47. Filippov V.
19. Voitovich M.
16. Noskov D.
Line 4
3. Shatilo I.
86. Khlebkov G.
78. Ushev B.
91. Kurdin I.
80. Gavrilovich P.
14. Rakitin D.
88. Ponomartsev I.
57. Kruglov I.
97. Golovach A.
78. Proskurin M.
Substitutes
31. Karchevsky A. (G)
31. Gulkovsky K. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
10:11, 1 - 0, Kolyshkin D. (G), Titov N. (A), Khoromando M. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 3)
01:44, 2 - 0, Kachelovsky O. (G),
02:00, 2 - 1, Proskurin M. (G), Rakitin D. (A), Kruglov I. (A2)
05:17, 2 - 2, Ivanov A. (G), Antonov D. (A),
08:40, 2 - 3, Shapenkov K. (G), Muzhikov D. (A), Avramenko M. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
10:28, 3 - 3, Kachelovsky O. (G), Sobhy N. (A), Kudin Y. (A2)
18:43, 3 - 4, Kurkov D. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gomel won 0.
Both teams enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.
Gomel could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Slavutych has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Gomel has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 39:39 (averaging 3:3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Gomel against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 18:22 goals (averaging 3:3.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
2
Slavutych
18
11
2
1
4
68:47
27
5
Gomel
18
10
1
3
4
60:40
25
Last Results with these Odds
Slavutych Smolensk - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 38.8%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Lubsky M. (G) 
Sinyagin D. (G) 
Titov N. 
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