Match Info

KHL

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: CSKA Arena (Moscow)


	HC CSKA Moscow		Dynamo Moscow

	1	X	2
	1.97	3.72	3.38
	1.93	3.6	3.3
	1.94	4.39	3.47	Watch
	1.88	4	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.04)	3.93 ↓ (4.38)	3.35 ↑ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HC CSKA Moscow
48.4%

Draw
23.8%

Dynamo Moscow
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

22.2%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

20.9%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HC CSKA Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Dynamo Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HC CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Moscow than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

HC CSKA Moscow - Dynamo Moscow Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. CSKA will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. CSKA (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Samonov A. (G)	99. Motorygin M. (G)
89. Nesterov N. (A)	88. Blazhiyevsky A.
9. Zamula Y.	93. Sergeyev A. (A)
34. Gurianov D.	29. Shafigullin B.
51. Kovalenko N.	57. Shvets-Rogovoy A.
19. Drozdov I.	70. Martynov I.
Line 2
65. Cotton A.	45. Pylenkov D.
55. Okhotyuk N.	92. Ozhiganov I. (C)
98. Mamin M.	35. Korostelev N.
15. Karnaukhov P. (C)	90. Sikura D.
10. Kostin K.	91. Weal J. (A)
Line 3
79. Roy J.	22. Profaca L.
22. Hamilton R.	94. Novikov N.
61. Khairullin M.	7. Letunov M.
27. Sorkin M. (A)	10. Merkley N.
13. Poltapov P.
Line 4
5. Samorukov D.	96. Sharakanov M.
72. Buchelnikov D.	5. Zborovsky S.
26. Barach D.	16. Shen P.
95. Privalov N.	27. Melikov M.
Substitutes
33. Gamzin D. (G)	47. Bondar A.
	79. Nikonov A.
	59. Podyapolsky V. (G)
Coaches
. Nikitin I.	. Tambijevs L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
11:01, Kostin K. (2 min),
12:26, 0 - 1, Pylenkov D. (G), Sikura D. (A), Merkley N. (A2)
18:14, 1 - 1, Buchelnikov D. (G), Barach D. (A), Nesterov N. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 2)
03:09, Blazhiyevsky A. (2 min),
06:02, Okhotyuk N. (2 min),
06:58, 1 - 2, Letunov M. (G), Merkley N. (A), Pylenkov D. (A2)
08:01, Bondar A. (2 min),
09:53, 2 - 2, Khairullin M. (G), Poltapov P. (A), Sorkin M. (A2)
13:45, (2 min),
15:19, 3 - 2, Poltapov P. (G), Cotton A. (A), Buchelnikov D. (A2)
19:05, Okhotyuk N. (2 min),
19:49, 3 - 3, Letunov M. (G),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
07:54, Martynov I. (2 min),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (1 - 0)
1, Weal J. (Penalty Shot),
1, Khairullin M. (Penalty Shot),
2, Sikura D. (Penalty Shot),
2, Kostin K. (Penalty Shot),
3, Merkley N. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - KHL Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 7th in the Promotion - KHL Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CSKA won 3.

CSKA has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Dynamo M is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

CSKA could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, CSKA has faced a series of away games on the road.

Recently, Dynamo M has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with CSKA holding a narrow advantage.

Our forecast points to a victory for CSKA in today's match, at odds of 1.88.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, CSKA has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 56:49 (averaging 2.8:2.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for CSKA against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 34:25 goals (averaging 3.1:2.3 per game).

Outrights of KHL for now

CSKA Moscow: 11.6% Dynamo Moscow: 1.83%

Last Results with these Odds

HC CSKA Moscow - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 47.59%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.

Dynamo Moscow - the odds 3.21 are the expected chance of winning is 30.24%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC CSKA Moscow
KHL
01.10.26	Dinamo Minsk - HC CSKA Moscow	1:4 ✺
29.09.26	HC CSKA Moscow - SKA Saint Petersburg	6:5 ✺
25.09.26	Lada Togliatti - HC CSKA Moscow	0:5 ✺
23.09.26	Amur Khabarovsk - HC CSKA Moscow	0:2 ✺
21.09.26	Admiral Vladivostok - HC CSKA Moscow	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWWW
- HC Dynamo Moscow
KHL
01.10.26	Dynamo Moscow - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	1:3 ✺
28.09.26	Dynamo Moscow - Traktor Chelyabinsk	1:2 AET ✺
26.09.26	Dynamo Moscow - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	1:3 ✺
24.09.26	Dynamo Moscow - Dinamo Minsk	4:3 OT ✺
22.09.26	Dynamo Moscow - Barys Astana	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
24.08.26	HC CSKA Moscow - Dynamo Moscow	4:3
KHL
28.01.26	Dynamo Moscow - HC CSKA Moscow	2:4
30.12.25	HC CSKA Moscow - Dynamo Moscow	5:1
21.12.25	HC CSKA Moscow - Dynamo Moscow	0:1 penalties
01.11.25	Dynamo Moscow - HC CSKA Moscow	3:2
10.10.25	Dynamo Moscow - HC CSKA Moscow	4:3 penalties
06.09.25	HC CSKA Moscow - Dynamo Moscow	6:2

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