Match Info

Extraliga - Round 41

Date: 12 January 2026, Monday

Location: LOGSPEED CZ Arena (Plzen)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 2, Oneplay Sport 4
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Slovakia	Voyo


	HC Plzeň 1929		Olomouc

	1	X	2
	1.56	4.75	4.75	Watch
	1.65	4.6	4.15
	1.65	4.41	4.31
	1.6	4.5	4
	1.67	4.33	4.28
	1.66	4.4	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.65)	4.5 ↑ (4.38)	4.3 ↑ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HC Plzeň 1929
57.4%

Draw
20.8%

Olomouc
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

21.3%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

22%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HC Plzeň 1929 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Olomouc has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HC Plzeň 1929 than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olomouc than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

HC Plzeň 1929 - Olomouc Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Plzeň will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Plzeň (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5, OT - Olomouc (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Period - Plzeň (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Plzeň (votes: 3 - 75%). Olomouc (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Malik N. (G)	1. Machovsky M. (G)
20. Zamorsky P. (A)	48. Cerny T.
41. Salda R.	23. Ondrusek J. (C)
89. Holesinsky A.	88. Navratil J.
49. Simon D.	19. Nahodil L. (A)
84. Schleiss J. (A)	62. Plasek K. Jr.
Line 2
13. Merezhko I.	37. Stella E.
5. Jerabek J. (C)	61. Cosgrove T.
18. Strnad L.	81. Matys O.
42. Filip M.	91. Kusko S.
22. Mechura A.	9. Krastenbergs R.
Line 3
47. Lajunen V.	77. Hradek M.
8. Malak D.	14. Reznicek D.
17. Rohlik O.	32. Orsava J. (A)
23. Petman V.	41. Vitouch D.
92. Teply M.	11. Fridrich P.
Line 4
26. Psenicka O.	27. Rasner A.
30. Lev J.	39. Petrovicky R.
14. Sedlacek I.	89. Doktor J.
	24. Andel L.
	7. Ministr D.
Substitutes
70. Horejsi M.	29. Cichon O. (G)
33. Ruzicka J. (G)
Coaches
. Jandac J.	. Petrovicky R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
04:59, 1 - 0, Mechura A. (G), Filip M. (A), Lajunen V. (A2)
10:12, 1 - 1, Cerny T. (G), Matys O. (A), Ondrusek J. (A2)
16:07, 2 - 1, Lev J. (G), Sedlacek I. (A), Malak D. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
01:13, Strnad L. (2 min),
04:44, Nahodil L. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
02:55, (2 min),
05:01, Nahodil L. (2 min),
05:46, Lev J. (2 min),
06:22, 2 - 2, Plasek K. Jr. (G), Nahodil L. (A), Navratil J. (A2)
10:38, (2 min),
17:50, Orsava J. (2 min),
19:02, 3 - 2, Zamorsky P. (G), Lajunen V. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Extraliga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Extraliga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plzeň won 2.

Plzeň is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Olomouc's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Olomouc may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Plzeň has had a series of away games.

In this match, Plzeň is the team to beat.

There will not play in Plzeň: Kvasnicka D. (Concussion) Lalancette C. (Hand Injury) Siler J. (Knee Injury) Soukup M. (Injury)

There will not play in Olomouc: Cacho V. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Plzeň: Percy S. (Injury) Petman M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Olomouc: Macuh R. (Concussion) Skurek D. (Finger Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Plzeň won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 60:46. (average 3:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Plzeň won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:17. (average 3.2:1.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
5	Plzen	9	3	2	1	3	23:21	14
14	Olomouc	9	1	1	0	7	17:33	5

Last Results with these Odds

Olomouc - the odds 4.15 are the expected chance of winning is 22.43%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Plzeň 1929
Czech Extraliga
09.01.26	Bílí Tygři Liberec - HC Plzeň 1929	3:2 penalties ✺
06.01.26	Vítkovice Steel - HC Plzeň 1929	4:6 ✺
04.01.26	HC Plzeň 1929 - Mladá Boleslav	6:2 ✺
02.01.26	Verva Litvínov - HC Plzeň 1929	1:8 ✺
28.12.25	Energie Karlovy Vary - HC Plzeň 1929	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWWWW
- HC Olomouc
Czech Extraliga
09.01.26	Olomouc - Oceláři Třinec	4:1 ✺
06.01.26	Olomouc - Kometa Brno	3:2 ✺
04.01.26	Motor České Budějovice - Olomouc	2:1 ✺
02.01.26	Olomouc - Bílí Tygři Liberec	5:3 ✺
30.12.25	Mountfield Hradec Králové - Olomouc	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Czech Extraliga
30.11.25	Olomouc - HC Plzeň 1929	1:0
16.10.25	HC Plzeň 1929 - Olomouc	2:3
12.09.25	Olomouc - HC Plzeň 1929	1:4
04.03.25	Olomouc - HC Plzeň 1929	2:5
24.01.25	HC Plzeň 1929 - Olomouc	1:2 OT
08.12.24	Olomouc - HC Plzeň 1929	3:4
20.10.24	HC Plzeň 1929 - Olomouc	3:2

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