The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
HPK U20 63%
Draw 18.3%
KalPa U20 18.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.5%
19.7%
20.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56%
20.9%
22.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HPK U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
KalPa U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for HPK U20 than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with HPK U20 that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for KalPa U20 than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
HPK U20 - KalPa U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
05:40, 1 - 0, Lehtonen O. (G), Sipila E. (A), Viitaluoma V. (A2)
18:01, 2 - 0, Klima F. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
12:45, 3 - 0, Lappalainen M. (G), Kostjukovs K. (A), Laine P. (A2)
13:31, 3 - 1, Kekarainen S. (G), Linna A. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
00:44, 3 - 2, Heikkinen O. (G), Timofejev D. (A),
06:46, 4 - 2, Makinen I. (G), Lehtonen O. (A), Fagerstrom V. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HPK U20 won 2.
HPK U20 is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
KalPa U20 has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
HPK U20 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, HPK U20 is considered the favorite to take the win.
Our forecast points to a victory for HPK U20 in today's match, at odds of 1.48.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, HPK U20 has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 64:67 (averaging 3.2:3.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for HPK U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 44:34 goals (averaging 4.4:3.4 per game).
Watch
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