Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday


	HPK U20		Ässät U20

	1	X	2
	2.05	4.4	2.25
	2.15	3.8	2.49
	1.95	4.22	2.96	Watch
	1.85	4.2	2.9
	1.93	3.94	3.07
	2	4.25	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.36)	4.14 ↑ (3.91)	2.71 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

HPK U20
45.2%

Draw
21.7%

Ässät U20
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

23.6%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

23.9%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HPK U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in HPK U20's performance.

Ässät U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HPK U20 than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with HPK U20 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ässät U20 than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

HPK U20 - Ässät U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
14:52, 1 - 0, Nummela T. (G), Lamponen V. (A), Fagerstrom V. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
00:51, 1 - 1, Kamarainen R. (G),
05:07, 2 - 1, Liski T. (G), Kostjukovs K. (A), Ketonen A. (A2)
12:58, 2 - 2, Soikkeli V. (G), Leppanen H. (A), Mannisto A. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 3)
1, Koski L. (Penalty Shot),
1, Fagerstrom V. (Penalty Shot),
2, Huhtanen E. (Penalty Shot),
2, Seikkula E. (Penalty Shot),
3, Kamarainen R. (Penalty Shot),
3, Lehtonen O. (Penalty Shot),
4, Eskola L. (Penalty Shot),
4, Kostjukovs K. (Penalty Shot),
5, Juusela A. (Penalty Shot),
5, Eloranta O. (Penalty Shot),
6, Fagerstrom V. (Penalty Shot),
6, Aijala E. (Penalty Shot),
7, Kostjukovs K. (Penalty Shot),
7, Huhtanen E. (Penalty Shot),
8, Fagerstrom V. (Penalty Shot),
8, Aijala E. (Penalty Shot),
9, Kostjukovs K. (Penalty Shot),
9, Koski L. (Penalty Shot),
10, Lehtonen O. (Penalty Shot),
10, Eklund A. (Penalty Shot),
11, Huttunen R. (Penalty Shot),
11, Kamarainen R. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HPK U20 won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

HPK U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HPK U20 won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 63:75. (average 3.2:3.8).

Including home matches between the teams, HPK U20 won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 41:43. (average 3.7:3.9).

Last Results with these Odds

HPK U20 - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 39.02%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Ässät U20 - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 37.43%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HPK U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
13.12.25	RoKi U20 - HPK U20	0:3 ✺
12.12.25	Kärpät U20 - HPK U20	6:3 ✺
03.12.25	HPK U20 - Jokerit U20	5:6 ✺
29.11.25	Kiekko-Espoo U20 - HPK U20	5:1 ✺
28.11.25	HPK U20 - RoKi U20	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLLW
- Ässät U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
13.12.25	KooKoo U20 - Ässät U20	3:1 ✺
12.12.25	SaiPa U20 - Ässät U20	3:4 OT ✺
07.12.25	Ässät U20 - Kiekko-Espoo U20	2:3 OT ✺
29.11.25	Vaasan Sport U20 - Ässät U20	2:3 ✺
27.11.25	Ässät U20 - TPS U20	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
23.11.25	Ässät U20 - HPK U20	1:3
22.02.25	Ässät U20 - HPK U20	6:3
12.12.24	Ässät U20 - HPK U20	4:3 OT
17.11.24	HPK U20 - Ässät U20	3:5
22.09.24	HPK U20 - Ässät U20	5:3
09.03.24	HPK U20 - Ässät U20	4:6
19.01.24	Ässät U20 - HPK U20	6:2

Upcoming Matches